FNUS75 KGJT 260636
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOWSHOE WATER TANK...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1236 AM MDT WED OCT 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT PASSED OVER THE BURN SITE AFTER
MIDNIGHT LAST NIGHT. A COLD UNSETTLED NORTH FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE OVERNIGHT MODELS PRODUCING ANOTHER 2-5
INCHES OF SNOWFALL MAINLY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS WILL END AND SKIES
CLEAR WITH SUNSET FOR A COLD AND STABLE NIGHT TONIGHT. ON
THURSDAY...COLD AIR TRAPPED NEAR THE SURFACE WITH WARMING ALOFT
WILL PRODUCE VERY STABLE CONDITIONS AND POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....ZERO-5 ABOVE F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY MORNING FOG. THEN MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 20000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111026.SNOWS.01/GJT