FNUS72 KMFL 262154
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FREDS FIRST...BIG CYPRESS NATL. PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
554 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1740 EDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND
INTO THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE EASTERLY TO
EAST NORTHEASTERLY NEAR 5 KNOTS OR SLIGHTLY LESS DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON THURSDAY. THE EASTERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BRING PATCHES OF
LOW LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS ACROSS THE BURN AREA FROM TIME TO TIME...WHICH
SHOULD HELP TO SUPPRESS CHANCES OF FOG FORMATION. HOWEVER...DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY IF THE BURN AREA IS CLOUD FREE
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS PATCHY FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE BUT IS NOT EXPECTED
TO COVER AN EXTENSIVE AREA OR BE DENSE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     37     37     37     37     37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............84     76     73     71     69     68
RH..............53     71     81     87     93     97
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2600   2600   700    500    500
MIXNG WIND......E 13   E 10   E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9
DISPERSION IDX..67     7      7      4      4      4
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 28.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111026.FREDS.02/MFL