FNUS75 KBOU 270242 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CAYLOR THINNING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 842 PM MDT WED OCT 26 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THURSDAY WILL BE DRY AND COOL WITH SOME WARMING IN THE LOWER TO MID LEVELS WHICH MAY LEAD TO INVERSIONS MUCH OF THE DAY AS WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. THUS SMOKE DISPERSAL MAY STAY POOR MUCH OF THE DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4000-5000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CAYLOR THINNING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/26-20 88 0 18 18 89 E 3 3 2 1 W48 1109 SE 3 2179 P 10/26-21 88 0 0 16 90 E 3 3 2 1 W44 387 E 3 1310 P 10/26-22 88 0 0 15 92 E 3 3 2 1 W41 344 SE 3 1074 P 10/26-23 88 0 0 14 92 SE 2 2 2 1 W37 300 S 3 838 P 10/27-00 54 0 0 13 91 S 2 2 2 1 W32 257 S 2 602 P 10/27-01 54 0 0 12 87 S 2 2 2 1 W25 233 SW 3 632 P 10/27-02 54 0 0 11 82 SW 3 3 2 1 W20 208 SW 3 662 P 10/27-03 31 0 0 11 78 W 3 3 2 1 W15 184 W 5 692 P 10/27-04 31 0 0 10 74 W 3 3 2 1 NW14 179 W 5 668 P 10/27-05 31 0 0 10 71 W 3 3 2 1 NW15 174 W 5 644 P 10/27-06 6 0 0 9 72 W 3 3 2 1 N17 169 W 5 620 P 10/27-07 6 0 0 10 75 W 3 3 2 1 N18 415 W 5 1901 P 10/27-08 6 0 0 14 69 W 5 5 3 1 NW21 661 W 6 3182 P 10/27-09 6 0 0 21 57 W 5 5 3 1 NW22 906 W 6 4463 P 10/27-10 6 0 0 27 45 W 5 5 3 1 NW24 1618 W 6 9372 P 10/27-11 6 0 0 32 39 W 5 5 4 1 NW25 2329 W 7 14282 P 10/27-12 20 0 0 35 36 SW 5 5 4 1 NW28 3040 W 7 19191 P 10/27-13 20 0 0 36 34 SW 3 3 4 1 NW28 3280 W 7 20711 P 10/27-14 20 0 0 37 34 SW 2 2 4 1 NW29 3520 W 7 22232 P 10/27-15 20 0 0 38 33 SW 2 2 4 1 NW30 3760 NW 7 23753 P 10/27-16 20 0 0 37 34 S 3 3 4 1 NW33 3252 NW 6 17243 P 10/27-17 20 0 0 36 36 SE 5 5 3 1 W38 2744 N 3 10734 P 10/27-18 21 0 0 33 39 E 5 5 3 1 W41 2236 N 2 4224 P 10/27-19 21 0 0 29 45 NE 3 3 3 1 W43 1599 N 2 2953 P 10/27-20 21 0 0 26 50 N 2 2 3 1 W43 961 CALM 1682 P 10/27-21 21 0 0 25 52 CALM 1 3 1 W41 323 CALM 411 P 10/27-22 21 0 0 23 54 NW 2 2 3 1 NW37 281 W 3 627 P 10/27-23 21 0 0 22 55 W 3 3 2 1 NW32 238 W 5 843 P 10/28-00 24 0 0 21 56 W 5 5 2 1 NW29 196 W 6 1059 P 10/28-01 24 0 0 20 57 W 5 5 2 1 NW28 185 W 6 966 P 10/28-02 24 0 0 20 58 W 5 5 2 1 NW29 174 W 6 872 P 10/28-03 24 0 0 19 58 W 5 5 2 1 NW32 163 W 6 779 P 10/28-04 24 0 0 18 56 W 5 5 3 1 NW36 159 W 6 738 P 10/28-05 24 0 0 18 54 W 5 5 3 1 NW40 155 W 5 696 P 10/28-06 15 0 0 17 54 W 5 5 4 1 NW45 151 W 5 655 P 10/28-07 15 0 0 18 55 W 5 5 4 1 NW48 422 W 6 2129 P 10/28-08 15 0 0 22 49 W 5 5 4 1 NW51 693 W 6 3604 P 10/28-09 15 0 0 28 40 W 5 5 4 1 NW52 964 W 6 5078 P 10/28-10 15 0 0 35 34 W 5 5 4 1 NW48 2246 W 8 19196 P 10/28-11 15 0 0 40 30 W 5 5 4 1 NW43 3528 NW 9 33313 P 10/28-12 13 0 0 43 29 W 5 5 4 1 NW38 4810 NW12 47431 F 10/28-13 13 0 0 44 28 W 6 6 4 1 NW36 4862 NW12 50051 F 10/28-14 13 0 0 45 27 W 7 7 4 1 NW35 4915 NW13 52672 F 10/28-15 13 0 0 46 25 W 7 7 4 1 NW35 4967 W13 55293 F 10/28-16 13 0 0 45 25 SW 7 7 4 1 NW36 4420 W13 48370 F 10/28-17 13 0 0 44 25 SW 6 6 4 1 W37 3873 W13 41447 F 10/28-18 13 0 0 41 26 S 5 5 4 1 W37 3325 W12 34524 P 10/28-19 13 0 0 37 30 SW 5 5 4 1 W37 2347 W12 24049 P 10/28-20 13 0 0 34 33 SW 5 5 4 1 W36 1368 W10 13575 P 10/28-21 13 0 0 33 34 W 5 5 4 1 W35 389 W 9 3101 P 10/28-22 13 0 0 31 36 W 5 5 4 1 W35 355 W 9 2760 P 10/28-23 13 0 0 30 37 W 6 6 4 1 W33 321 W 8 2420 P 10/29-00 23 0 0 29 38 W 6 6 4 1 W33 286 W 8 2079 P 10/29-01 23 0 0 29 38 W 6 6 4 1 NW32 266 W 9 1985 P 10/29-02 23 0 0 28 39 W 6 6 4 1 NW31 245 W 9 1890 P 10/29-03 23 0 0 27 40 W 6 6 4 1 NW31 224 W 9 1795 P 10/29-04 23 0 0 27 41 W 6 6 4 1 NW31 217 W 9 1799 P 10/29-05 23 0 0 26 43 W 7 7 4 1 NW32 211 W10 1802 P 10/29-06 23 0 0 26 46 W 7 7 4 1 NW33 204 W10 1806 P 10/29-07 23 0 0 26 49 W 7 7 4 1 NW35 447 W12 5057 P 10/29-08 23 0 0 29 47 W 8 8 3 1 NW36 691 W13 8307 P 10/29-09 23 0 0 34 41 W 8 8 3 1 NW36 934 W14 11558 P 10/29-10 23 0 0 40 36 W 9 9 3 1 NW36 2042 NW14 23582 P 10/29-11 23 0 0 44 33 W 9 9 2 1 NW36 3149 NW14 35607 P 10/29-12 32 0 0 46 31 W10 10 2 1 NW36 4257 NW13 47631 F 10/29-13 32 0 0 47 28 W12 12 2 1 NW36 4492 NW15 60444 G 10/29-14 32 0 0 48 25 W12 20 3 1 NW36 4727 NW17 73256 G 10/29-15 32 0 0 49 22 NW12 18 3 1 NW35 4962 NW20 86069 G 10/29-16 32 0 0 48 21 W 9 9 3 1 NW35 4381 NW18 71965 G 10/29-17 32 0 0 46 22 W 6 6 2 1 NW33 3799 W17 57862 F 10/29-18 18 0 0 44 24 W 3 3 2 1 NW33 3217 W16 43758 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RYAN HARLOW REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111027.CAYLO.01/BOU