FNUS75 KBOU 270240 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 151...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 840 PM MDT WED OCT 26 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THURSDAY WILL BE DRY AND COOL WITH SOME WARMING IN THE LOWER TO MID LEVELS WHICH MAY LEAD TO INVERSIONS MUCH OF THE DAY. THUS SMOKE DISPERSAL MAY STAY POOR MUCH OF THE DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 3200-4200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 151. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/26-20 75 0 2 19 83 S 2 2 2 1 W45 1515 NW 3 3954 P 10/26-21 75 0 0 18 80 CALM 1 2 1 W40 1035 NW 3 3080 P 10/26-22 75 0 0 17 79 CALM 1 2 1 W32 799 NW 3 2332 P 10/26-23 75 0 0 16 77 W 3 3 2 1 NW24 562 W 3 1583 P 10/27-00 66 0 0 16 76 W 5 5 2 1 NW17 326 W 3 835 P 10/27-01 66 0 0 15 74 W 7 7 3 1 N13 301 W 5 1156 P 10/27-02 66 0 0 15 72 W 8 14 3 1 N12 277 W 7 1476 P 10/27-03 26 0 0 15 70 W10 16 4 1 N12 252 W 8 1797 P 10/27-04 26 0 0 14 68 W12 18 4 1 N14 227 W 9 1780 P 10/27-05 26 0 0 14 67 W13 20 4 1 NW16 202 W10 1762 P 10/27-06 12 0 0 14 69 W13 21 4 1 NW18 177 W12 1744 P 10/27-07 12 0 0 14 73 W12 20 4 1 NW21 309 W10 2438 P 10/27-08 12 0 0 17 70 W10 17 4 1 NW21 441 W 9 3132 P 10/27-09 12 0 0 22 64 W 9 15 4 1 NW22 573 W 8 3826 P 10/27-10 12 0 0 26 56 W 8 8 4 1 NW24 1135 W 8 9102 P 10/27-11 12 0 0 30 52 W 6 6 4 1 NW26 1698 W 9 14379 P 10/27-12 29 0 0 32 50 W 5 5 4 1 NW29 2261 W10 19655 P 10/27-13 29 0 0 33 48 W 3 3 4 1 NW31 2624 W12 25835 P 10/27-14 29 0 0 33 47 W 3 3 4 1 W33 2987 W13 32015 P 10/27-15 29 0 0 34 45 W 3 3 4 1 W36 3349 W13 38196 P 10/27-16 29 0 0 33 45 W 3 3 3 1 W38 2969 W13 33356 P 10/27-17 29 0 0 32 45 W 3 3 3 1 W39 2589 W13 28515 P 10/27-18 21 0 0 31 46 W 5 5 2 1 NW39 2209 W13 23675 P 10/27-19 21 0 0 28 50 W 7 7 2 1 NW37 1643 W13 17600 P 10/27-20 21 0 0 26 52 W 9 14 2 1 NW33 1077 W13 11524 P 10/27-21 21 0 0 25 52 W12 18 2 1 NW30 510 W13 5448 P 10/27-22 21 0 0 24 52 W13 21 2 1 NW28 454 W13 4920 P 10/27-23 21 0 0 24 52 W14 22 2 1 NW25 398 W13 4391 P 10/28-00 24 0 0 23 53 W14 22 2 1 NW24 342 W13 3863 P 10/28-01 24 0 0 23 53 W14 22 2 1 NW26 329 W13 3745 P 10/28-02 24 0 0 22 54 W14 22 3 1 NW30 317 W13 3627 P 10/28-03 24 0 0 22 55 W14 22 3 1 NW33 304 W14 3509 P 10/28-04 24 0 0 21 56 W14 23 3 1 NW37 296 W14 3464 P 10/28-05 24 0 0 21 57 W15 24 4 1 NW40 288 W14 3418 P 10/28-06 15 0 0 21 59 W15 24 4 1 NW43 280 W14 3372 P 10/28-07 15 0 0 21 62 W15 23 4 1 NW45 569 W13 6078 P 10/28-08 15 0 0 24 58 W14 22 3 1 NW46 857 W13 8784 P 10/28-09 15 0 0 29 51 W13 21 3 1 NW46 1145 W12 11489 P 10/28-10 15 0 0 33 46 W12 12 3 1 NW44 2205 W13 26471 P 10/28-11 15 0 0 37 43 W10 10 4 1 NW39 3266 NW14 41453 F 10/28-12 35 0 0 39 41 W 9 9 4 1 NW37 4326 NW15 56434 F 10/28-13 35 0 0 40 40 W 8 8 4 1 NW37 4320 NW16 59243 F 10/28-14 35 0 0 40 39 W 8 8 4 1 NW38 4313 W16 62051 G 10/28-15 35 0 0 41 37 W 8 8 4 1 NW39 4307 W17 64860 G 10/28-16 35 0 0 40 37 W 8 8 4 1 NW39 3691 W18 58109 F 10/28-17 35 0 0 39 37 W 8 8 4 1 W39 3075 W20 51359 F 10/28-18 35 0 0 38 37 W 8 8 4 1 W38 2460 W21 44608 F 10/28-19 35 0 0 35 40 W 9 9 4 1 W37 1883 W20 33601 P 10/28-20 35 0 0 33 41 W12 12 4 1 W35 1307 W20 22594 P 10/28-21 35 0 0 32 41 W13 21 4 1 W33 730 W18 11587 P 10/28-22 35 0 0 31 42 W14 22 4 1 NW31 627 W18 10100 P 10/28-23 35 0 0 31 41 W14 23 4 1 NW30 523 W20 8612 P 10/29-00 23 0 0 30 41 W15 24 4 1 NW30 420 W20 7124 P 10/29-01 23 0 0 29 41 W16 25 4 1 NW30 425 W21 7652 P 10/29-02 23 0 0 29 41 W16 26 4 1 NW32 430 W22 8180 P 10/29-03 23 0 0 28 42 W17 28 4 1 NW33 435 W23 8708 P 10/29-04 23 0 0 28 43 W18 29 3 1 NW35 391 W24 7968 P 10/29-05 23 0 0 28 44 W20 31 3 1 NW33 347 W24 7229 P 10/29-06 23 0 0 27 46 W20 31 2 1 NW33 302 W24 6489 P 10/29-07 23 0 0 28 49 W20 31 2 1 NW31 478 W25 10391 P 10/29-08 23 0 0 29 49 W18 30 3 1 NW29 654 W25 14292 P 10/29-09 23 0 0 33 46 W18 30 3 1 NW28 830 W25 18194 P 10/29-10 23 0 0 37 44 W18 29 3 1 NW25 1345 W29 36055 P 10/29-11 23 0 0 39 43 W17 28 2 1 NW24 1861 W31 53916 F 10/29-12 32 0 0 41 43 W17 28 2 1 NW24 2376 W35 71777 G 10/29-13 32 0 0 42 41 W18 29 2 1 NW28 2780 W37 88719 G 10/29-14 32 0 0 42 40 W20 31 2 1 NW31 3185 W38 105660 V 10/29-15 32 0 0 42 38 W20 31 2 1 NW36 3589 W39 122602 V 10/29-16 32 0 0 42 38 W18 30 2 1 NW38 3370 W39 115409 V 10/29-17 32 0 0 41 39 W17 29 2 1 NW40 3151 W39 108216 V 10/29-18 20 0 0 40 42 W16 25 2 1 NW43 2932 W39 101024 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111027.SUGAR.01/BOU