FNUS76 KMFR 271156
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLESTIN VALLEY  2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
456 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY
WITH MOSTLY SLOPE DOMINATED WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5
DEGREES WARMER BUT AFTERNOON HUMIDITY SHOULD BE CLOSE TO
WEDNESDAY. A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHT AND
LIGHT WIND IN THE MIXED LAYER WILL ALSO HAMPER DISPERSION. A WEAK
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD MOSTLY HIGH CLOUDS TO THE BURN
AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE AIR MASS ON FRIDAY WILL BE MORE
UNSTABLE WITH HIGHER MIXING HEIGHTS AND STRONGER WINDS IN THE
MIXED LAYER. THIS FRONT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY BUT A STRONGER FRONT ON
MONDAY COULD PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN OVER THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...SUNNY BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6PM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP............33     43     54     60     63     57
RH (%)..........55     40     28     24     21     26

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. OVERNIGHT INVERSION QUITE STEEP.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........DOWNSLOPE 2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
TEMP............57     46     41     39     39     38
RH..............26     37     41     45     47     49

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 33. HIGHS 62. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39. HIGHS 63. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 38. HIGHS 57. NORTHWEST
WIND 5 TO 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111027.COLES.01/MFR