FNUS76 KMFR 271239
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
539 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY
WITH MOSTLY LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
WEAKEN FRIDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THIS FRONT WILL
AGAIN BE DRY AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA BUT WILL BRING
MORE MOISTURE TO THE BURN AREA IN TERM OF HIGHER AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWITCH TO NORTHWEST AFTER THE FRONT
AND REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER DRY COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST 2 TO 4 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTH WIND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING THEN LOWER TO
                    500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EARLY...INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGHOUT
                    THE AFTERNOON...MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHWEST WIND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 33-35. HIGHS 62-65. MIN RH 30-35 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 35. HIGHS 60. MIN RH AROUND 35 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111027.SMOKE.01/MFR