FNUS75 KBOU 281114 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CAYLOR THINNING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 514 AM MDT FRI OCT 28 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE AGAIN TODAY WITH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR SKIES. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE SLIGHTLY BETTER TODAY COMPARED TO THURSDAY BUT SHOULD STILL HAVE A BIT OF A LOW LEVEL INVERSION THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BREAKING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....23. MAX HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CAYLOR THINNING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/28-03 15 0 0 18 69 W 5 5 2 1 NW36 118 W 5 492 P 10/28-04 15 0 0 17 68 W 5 5 2 1 NW40 124 W 5 535 P 10/28-05 15 0 0 16 72 W 6 6 2 1 NW45 130 W 5 579 P 10/28-06 15 0 0 15 65 W 6 6 2 1 NW48 136 W 6 623 P 10/28-07 15 0 0 17 61 W 6 6 3 1 NW49 179 W 6 852 P 10/28-08 15 0 0 20 57 W 5 5 3 1 NW51 223 W 6 1082 P 10/28-09 11 0 0 23 50 W 5 5 4 1 NW51 266 W 6 1312 P 10/28-10 11 0 0 28 40 W 5 5 4 1 NW49 1604 W 8 16125 P 10/28-11 11 0 0 34 31 W 5 5 4 1 NW47 2942 NW10 30938 P 10/28-12 17 0 0 39 25 W 5 5 4 1 NW46 4280 NW13 45750 F 10/28-13 17 0 0 41 22 W 5 5 4 1 NW44 4424 NW13 46418 F 10/28-14 17 0 0 42 20 W 6 6 4 1 NW41 4569 NW12 47086 F 10/28-15 17 0 0 42 19 W 6 6 4 1 NW40 4714 NW12 47754 F 10/28-16 17 0 0 41 20 W 6 6 4 1 NW39 3734 W12 37535 P 10/28-17 17 0 0 40 22 SW 5 5 4 1 NW38 2754 W12 27316 P 10/28-18 19 0 0 37 26 SW 5 5 4 1 NW37 1774 W12 17097 P 10/28-19 19 0 0 35 29 SW 5 5 4 1 NW37 1251 W10 11857 P 10/28-20 19 0 0 32 34 SW 5 5 4 1 NW38 728 W 9 6618 P 10/28-21 19 0 0 29 38 W 5 5 4 1 W39 204 SW 8 1378 P 10/28-22 19 0 0 28 41 W 5 5 4 1 W39 197 W 8 1385 P 10/28-23 19 0 0 27 42 W 6 6 4 1 W40 190 W 8 1391 P 10/29-00 22 0 0 26 42 W 6 6 4 1 W41 182 W 9 1398 P 10/29-01 22 0 0 26 42 W 6 6 4 1 W44 186 W 9 1449 P 10/29-02 22 0 0 26 41 W 7 7 4 1 W46 191 W 9 1501 P 10/29-03 22 0 0 26 40 W 7 7 4 1 NW47 195 W 9 1552 P 10/29-04 22 0 0 26 40 W 7 7 3 1 NW46 186 W 9 1442 P 10/29-05 22 0 0 26 41 W 6 6 3 1 NW45 178 W 8 1332 P 10/29-06 23 0 0 24 46 W 5 5 2 1 NW44 169 W 8 1222 P 10/29-07 23 0 0 23 48 W 5 5 2 1 NW43 184 W 8 1240 P 10/29-08 23 0 0 23 47 W 3 3 2 1 NW43 198 W 7 1259 P 10/29-09 23 0 0 25 41 SW 3 3 2 1 NW41 213 W 7 1277 P 10/29-10 23 0 0 29 35 SW 3 3 2 1 NW36 975 W10 12905 P 10/29-11 23 0 0 35 27 SW 3 3 3 1 NW29 1737 W14 24533 P 10/29-12 28 0 0 40 23 S 5 5 3 1 NW22 2499 W16 36161 P 10/29-13 28 0 0 44 20 SW 6 6 3 1 NW18 3296 W20 59193 F 10/29-14 28 0 0 47 18 SW 7 7 3 1 NW16 4092 W22 82226 G 10/29-15 28 0 0 48 17 W 7 7 3 1 NW17 4889 W25 105258 V 10/29-16 28 0 0 49 17 W 7 7 3 1 NW21 4565 W23 91716 G 10/29-17 28 0 0 49 17 W 6 6 2 1 NW26 4242 W21 78173 G 10/29-18 24 1 0 45 21 SW 5 5 2 1 NW32 3918 NW18 64631 G 10/29-19 24 1 0 40 26 W 3 3 2 1 NW37 2729 W14 43559 F 10/29-20 24 1 0 37 31 W 2 2 2 1 NW41 1539 W 9 22488 P 10/29-21 24 1 0 34 36 CALM 1 2 1 NW43 350 W 5 1416 P 10/29-22 24 1 0 32 40 CALM 1 2 1 NW43 301 W 5 1140 P 10/29-23 24 1 0 30 46 CALM 1 2 1 NW40 252 W 3 864 P 10/30-00 22 1 0 28 50 CALM 1 2 1 NW38 203 W 3 588 P 10/30-01 22 1 0 28 50 W 2 2 2 1 NW37 201 W 5 712 P 10/30-02 22 1 0 27 52 W 3 3 2 1 NW36 198 W 5 836 P 10/30-03 22 1 0 26 54 W 5 5 2 1 NW35 195 W 6 959 P 10/30-04 22 1 0 26 55 W 5 5 2 1 NW35 194 W 6 905 P 10/30-05 22 1 0 24 58 W 3 3 2 1 NW35 192 W 5 850 P 10/30-06 10 4 1 25 56 W 2 2 2 1 NW33 191 W 5 795 P 10/30-07 10 4 1 24 59 W 2 2 2 1 NW33 212 W 5 916 P 10/30-08 10 4 1 24 60 W 3 3 2 1 NW32 233 W 5 1037 P 10/30-09 10 4 1 27 55 W 3 3 2 1 NW32 254 W 6 1158 P 10/30-10 10 4 1 31 47 W 3 3 2 1 NW33 1402 W 8 13571 P 10/30-11 10 4 1 37 38 W 3 3 2 1 N35 2551 W 9 25983 P 10/30-12 5 2 0 41 32 W 3 3 2 1 N35 3699 NW12 38396 P 10/30-13 5 2 0 45 27 W 3 3 2 1 N32 4313 NW12 42971 F 10/30-14 5 2 0 48 24 W 5 5 2 1 N29 4927 NW12 47546 F 10/30-15 5 2 0 49 22 W 5 5 2 1 N26 5540 NW10 52121 F 10/30-16 5 2 0 51 21 W 5 5 2 1 NW24 4920 W10 44481 F 10/30-17 5 2 0 50 20 W 3 3 2 1 NW22 4300 W 9 36841 P 10/30-18 7 0 0 47 23 W 3 3 2 1 NW21 3680 W 9 29201 P 10/30-19 7 0 0 42 27 W 3 3 2 1 NW21 2536 W 8 19951 P 10/30-20 7 0 0 38 32 W 5 5 3 1 NW22 1393 W 8 10701 P 10/30-21 7 0 0 35 37 W 5 5 3 1 NW24 249 W 7 1450 P 10/30-22 7 0 0 34 40 W 5 5 3 1 NW25 225 W 7 1351 P 10/30-23 7 0 0 32 45 W 6 6 4 1 W26 201 W 7 1252 P 10/31-00 4 0 0 30 49 W 6 6 4 1 W28 177 W 7 1153 P 10/31-01 4 0 0 30 50 W 6 6 4 1 W26 172 W 8 1135 P 10/31-02 4 0 0 29 51 W 7 7 3 1 W25 167 W 8 1117 P 10/31-03 4 0 0 28 53 W 7 7 3 1 W23 162 W 8 1098 P 10/31-04 4 0 0 28 54 W 7 7 3 1 W23 157 W 8 1049 P 10/31-05 4 0 0 26 56 W 7 7 2 1 W23 151 W 8 999 P 10/31-06 6 2 0 27 55 W 7 7 2 1 W23 145 W 8 949 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RYAN HARLOW REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111028.CAYLO.01/BOU