FNUS73 KDLH 281010 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 510 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0433 CDT ON OCTOBER 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT RAIN AND OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD THIS MORNING AND PRODUCE ONLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. WILL LIKELY SEE CONDITIONS DRY OUT BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING...AND THEN REDEVELOP CONVECTIVE RAIN SHOWERS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SLEET OR SMALL HAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WILL SEE LINGERING LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING BEFORE CONDITIONS CLEAR OUT BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SATURDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL SLIDE INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST LATE SATURDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY...HOWEVER THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ON THE WILDFIRE AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE BURN SITE AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRY ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9100) INCREASING TO FAIR (27800) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (20700) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO POOR (2900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............31 34 35 37 39 38 RH..............94 83 76 73 65 73 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 8 9 10 13 12 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800) INCREASING TO POOR (4800) LATE. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............35 34 32 32 30 31 RH..............79 83 87 91 95 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 8 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST AROUND 3 MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6400) INCREASING TO FAIR (16100). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............30 31 35 39 42 40 RH..............85 81 69 59 50 57 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST. $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE LOCKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111028.PAGAM.01/DLH