FNUS73 KUNR 281444
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH CREEK RX...SDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
844 AM MDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 MDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A SHORT WAVE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PRODUCE
DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT.  WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AT THE SURFACE WITH A BRISK NORTH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM LATE SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE LIGHT
PRECIPITATION MOSTLY NORTH OF THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 TO 7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 TO 7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 36
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DC
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111028.FRENC.01/UNR