FNUS76 KPDT 291256
FWSPDT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR 10...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
600 AM PDT SAT OCT 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO SOUTHERN OREGON. THERE MAY
BE A FEW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING NEAR THE BURN SITE...BUT SHOWERS
WILL END LATER IN THE MORNING.  IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD
TONIGHT. A MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN OREGON
LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.  THE BURN SITE MAY SEE LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MONDAY AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10 MINUTE AVERAGES***
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***
***FORECAST IS VALID FOR 12 HOURS AFTER ISSUANCE***

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF A LIGHT SHOWER
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6-12
                    MPH IN LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE (MAINLY NORTH) 0-2
                    MPH AFTER SUNSET.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 4-9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH
                    AFTER 8 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO NEAR SURFACE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

FORECASTER...MARY JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...COIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111029.BLACK.01/PDT