FNUS73 KUNR 301552
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT MEADE RX...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
952 AM MDT SUN OCT 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A TRANSITORY UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
CROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF
A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT.  AT THE SURFACE A WEAK TROUGH WILL SLIP ACROSS
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA EARLY MONDAY PRODUCING
SLIGHTLY HIGHER WIND SPEEDS DURING THE MORNING.  HOWEVER BY MIDDAY
THE SURFACE GRADIENT SHOULD DECREASE LEAVING MOSTLY LIGHT WEST
OR NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE BURN AREA FOR MOST OF THE DAY. THE
SURFACE WIND DIRECTION COULD BECOME HIGHLY VARIABLE BY LATE
AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DC
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS LIPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111030.FORTM.01/UNR