FNUS75 KBOU 311543 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RFB 16 17 18 20...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 AM MDT MON OCT 31 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE BURN AREA DRY AND BREEZY THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A BIT OF AN INVERSION TUESDAY MORNING THAT MAY DELAY DEEP MIXING...BUT ENOUGH WIND FOR FAIR DISPERSION BY LATE MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59. MIN HUMIDITY........21-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH INCREASING TO 15-25 MPH BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH BY 1300. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38. MAX HUMIDITY........44-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 2100 AND 1000 FT AGL BY 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...POOR AFTER 2100. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RFB 16 17 18 20. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/31-08 2 0 0 35 40 W13 20 4 1 W23 616 W16 9349 P 10/31-09 2 0 0 41 32 W13 20 4 1 W23 832 W18 12905 P 10/31-10 2 0 0 46 27 W12 17 4 1 W24 2019 W18 33356 P 10/31-11 2 0 0 52 24 W10 15 5 1 W24 3205 W18 53806 F 10/31-12 21 0 0 53 24 W 9 14 5 1 W24 4391 W20 74257 G 10/31-13 21 0 0 55 23 W10 16 4 1 W25 4881 W20 83946 G 10/31-14 21 0 0 56 24 W13 20 4 1 W26 5370 W20 93635 G 10/31-15 21 0 0 57 24 W15 23 3 1 W26 5859 W21 103324 V 10/31-16 21 0 0 56 24 W16 24 3 1 W26 4291 W21 76532 G 10/31-17 21 0 0 52 27 W16 24 4 1 W25 2724 W22 49741 F 10/31-18 21 0 0 41 39 W16 24 4 1 W24 1156 W23 22950 P 10/31-19 21 0 0 38 44 W15 23 4 1 W23 899 W21 16969 P 10/31-20 21 0 0 37 46 W15 22 3 1 W22 642 W17 10987 P 10/31-21 21 0 0 37 46 W14 21 3 1 W22 385 W15 5005 P 10/31-22 21 0 0 37 45 W14 21 3 1 W22 351 W15 4581 P 10/31-23 21 0 0 37 43 W14 21 3 1 W23 318 W15 4156 P 11/01-00 21 0 0 36 45 W14 21 3 1 W23 285 W15 3731 P 11/01-01 21 0 0 35 45 W14 21 3 1 W23 290 W15 3854 P 11/01-02 21 0 0 35 45 W14 21 3 1 W22 295 W15 3977 P 11/01-03 21 0 0 37 43 W14 21 3 1 W23 300 W16 4100 P 11/01-04 21 0 0 35 45 W14 21 3 1 W24 279 W16 3796 P 11/01-05 21 0 0 35 45 W14 22 3 1 W28 258 W16 3492 P 11/01-06 32 0 0 35 45 W14 21 3 1 W30 236 W15 3188 P 11/01-07 32 0 0 34 50 W10 16 3 1 W30 307 W14 3471 P 11/01-08 32 0 0 34 53 NW 8 8 3 1 W31 377 W13 3755 P 11/01-09 47 0 0 37 51 NW 7 7 3 1 W31 448 W10 4039 P 11/01-10 47 0 0 39 49 W 7 7 3 1 W32 941 W12 11072 P 11/01-11 47 0 0 42 46 S 8 8 3 1 W35 1434 W14 18105 P 11/01-12 63 23 5 43 47 S 8 8 3 1 W38 1926 SW15 25138 P 11/01-13 63 23 5 44 46 SE 8 8 3 1 W41 2326 SW17 34971 P 11/01-14 63 23 5 44 47 SE 7 7 3 1 W46 2726 SW18 44804 F 11/01-15 74 37 15 45 47 SE 6 6 3 1 W49 3125 W20 54637 F 11/01-16 74 37 15 44 50 SE 5 5 3 1 W52 2234 SW15 36920 P 11/01-17 74 37 15 40 59 E 5 5 2 1 W54 1342 SE 9 19203 P 11/01-18 95 82 71 29 92 E 5 5 2 1 W56 451 E 3 1486 P 11/01-19 95 82 71 25 100 E 6 6 2 1 W56 810 E 7 6369 P 11/01-20 95 82 71 24 100 NE 8 8 2 1 SW54 1168 NE 9 11252 P 11/01-21 95 82 71 24 100 NE10 16 2 1 SW52 1527 NE13 16135 P 11/01-22 95 82 71 24 98 NE12 18 2 1 SW49 2075 NE14 25254 P 11/01-23 95 82 71 25 96 NE13 20 2 1 SW46 2623 N15 34373 P 11/02-00 100 82 71 23 100 NE14 21 2 1 SW43 3171 N16 43492 F 11/02-01 100 82 71 23 100 NE14 21 2 1 SW39 3588 N17 54894 F 11/02-02 100 82 71 23 99 NE14 20 2 1 W36 4004 N18 66296 G 11/02-03 100 82 71 23 93 NE13 20 2 1 W33 4420 N21 77698 G 11/02-04 100 82 71 22 92 NE13 18 2 1 W32 4608 N20 78320 G 11/02-05 100 82 71 22 88 N12 17 2 1 W32 4795 N20 78941 G 11/02-06 99 76 62 22 84 N10 16 2 1 W33 4983 N18 79563 G 11/02-07 99 76 62 21 87 N 9 9 2 1 W33 4995 N17 73047 G 11/02-08 99 76 62 22 86 N 7 7 2 1 NW33 5006 NW15 66532 G 11/02-09 99 76 62 23 79 N 6 6 2 1 NW36 5017 NW14 60016 G 11/02-10 99 76 62 25 71 N 5 5 2 1 NW43 5182 NW14 64851 G 11/02-11 99 76 62 26 63 N 5 5 2 1 N49 5346 NW15 69686 G 11/02-12 69 42 19 27 59 N 5 5 2 1 N55 5510 NW16 74521 G 11/02-13 69 42 19 28 56 N 3 3 3 1 N54 4873 NW15 62394 G 11/02-14 69 42 19 28 55 NW 2 2 3 1 N51 4236 NW14 50266 F 11/02-15 69 42 19 28 55 NW 2 2 4 1 NW47 3599 NW13 38138 P 11/02-16 69 42 19 28 56 NW 2 2 4 1 NW47 2525 W10 26095 P 11/02-17 69 42 19 26 61 W 3 3 4 1 NW46 1452 W 8 14051 P 11/02-18 30 7 1 20 76 W 3 3 4 1 NW45 379 W 6 2008 P 11/02-19 30 7 1 18 78 W 3 3 4 1 NW43 307 W 6 1534 P 11/02-20 30 7 1 17 76 W 3 3 4 1 NW39 236 W 5 1061 P 11/02-21 30 7 1 18 70 W 3 3 4 1 NW36 164 W 5 588 P 11/02-22 30 7 1 18 66 W 5 5 4 1 NW33 149 W 6 647 P 11/02-23 30 7 1 18 62 W 6 6 4 1 NW31 133 W 7 706 P 11/03-00 14 4 1 17 60 W 7 7 4 1 NW30 118 W 8 765 P 11/03-01 14 4 1 17 57 W 8 8 4 1 NW29 113 W 8 788 P 11/03-02 14 4 1 17 55 W 9 9 4 1 NW28 108 W 9 810 P 11/03-03 14 4 1 17 52 W 9 14 4 1 NW26 103 W 9 832 P 11/03-04 14 4 1 17 50 W 9 14 4 1 NW24 99 W 9 806 P 11/03-05 14 4 1 16 48 W 9 14 5 1 NW21 94 W 9 779 P 11/03-06 14 2 0 17 48 W 9 14 5 1 NW17 89 W 9 753 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111031.RFB16.01/BOU