FNUS76 KMFR 311359
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 50  52...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
700 AM PDT MON OCT 31 2011

UPDATED WITH 3-5 DAY

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH MONDAY AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN.
AFTERNOON NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER
MIN HUMIDITIES AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES...BUT A MAJOR COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW AT THE BURN SITE DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE EAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE
MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12
IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3000 FT
AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO
500
                    FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2500 FT
AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.

3-5 DAY FORECAST

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 20 TO 30.
HIGHS 50 TO 55. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COLDER...WINDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SNOW
LEVEL 4000 FEET. LOWS 20 TO 30. HIGHS 35 TO 45. SOUTHWEST WINDS
20 TO 30 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 20 TO 25. HIGHS 30 TO 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON DETHLEFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111031.UNIT5.01/MFR