FNUS75 KBOU 011839 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTER LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1232 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH 8 TO 14 INCHES BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. IT WILL BE DRY AND WARMER FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE STATE BY SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-46. MIN HUMIDITY........52-56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 2400. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-27. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 11-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 3800-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2000. VERY GOOD AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200. STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-34. MIN HUMIDITY........55-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 8-14 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1400. POOR AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CARTER LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/01-12 82 10 2 46 63 E 3 3 2 1 W39 2902 SW10 25902 P 11/01-13 82 10 2 46 62 E 3 3 2 1 W40 2987 SW 9 23822 P 11/01-14 82 10 2 47 60 E 5 5 2 1 W41 3071 SW 8 21741 P 11/01-15 79 28 8 47 59 E 5 5 2 1 W44 3156 SW 7 19660 P 11/01-16 79 28 8 47 61 E 5 5 2 1 W47 2800 S 6 15079 P 11/01-17 79 28 8 44 69 E 5 5 2 1 SW51 2443 SE 5 10499 P 11/01-18 96 83 73 38 90 E 5 5 2 1 SW53 2087 E 3 5918 P 11/01-19 96 83 73 34 100 E 7 7 2 1 SW56 2185 E10 19861 P 11/01-20 96 83 73 31 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW58 2282 NE16 33804 P 11/01-21 96 81 70 31 99 NE12 12 2 1 SW55 2380 N23 47747 F 11/01-22 96 81 70 30 97 NE15 15 2 1 SW47 2455 N25 53115 F 11/01-23 96 81 70 29 97 N17 23 2 1 SW35 2530 N26 58482 F 11/02-00 100 90 84 27 98 N20 25 2 1 SW24 2605 N29 63850 G 11/02-01 100 90 84 27 92 N20 25 2 1 SW18 3035 N29 77324 G 11/02-02 100 90 84 27 88 N20 25 2 1 W16 3464 N30 90798 G 11/02-03 100 90 84 28 81 N18 24 2 1 W15 3893 N31 104272 V 11/02-04 100 90 84 27 82 N17 22 2 1 W17 3906 N30 101821 V 11/02-05 100 90 84 26 85 N15 20 2 1 W21 3918 N29 99369 G 11/02-06 97 79 66 26 85 N14 14 2 1 NW24 3930 N29 96917 G 11/02-07 97 79 66 25 86 N13 13 2 1 NW25 4047 N26 91012 G 11/02-08 97 79 66 25 88 N10 10 2 1 NW25 4163 N24 85106 G 11/02-09 97 79 66 26 89 N 9 9 2 1 NW25 4280 N22 79201 G 11/02-10 97 79 66 26 84 N 7 7 2 1 NW29 4575 N20 76368 G 11/02-11 97 79 66 28 77 N 5 5 2 1 NW33 4870 NW17 73535 G 11/02-12 65 10 2 29 70 N 2 2 2 1 NW38 5164 NW16 70703 G 11/02-13 65 10 2 31 65 CALM 1 2 1 N44 4931 NW14 61121 G 11/02-14 65 10 2 32 61 E 2 2 2 1 N48 4698 NW13 51539 F 11/02-15 65 10 2 32 60 SE 2 2 2 1 N51 4465 NW10 41957 F 11/02-16 65 10 2 32 60 SE 2 2 3 1 N48 3679 NW 9 31273 P 11/02-17 65 10 2 30 62 S 3 3 3 1 N43 2893 W 7 20590 P 11/02-18 15 4 1 29 63 S 5 5 4 1 N38 2106 W 6 9906 P 11/02-19 15 4 1 29 62 SW 6 6 4 1 N35 1695 W 6 7872 P 11/02-20 15 4 1 28 60 W 7 7 4 1 NW32 1284 SW 5 5838 P 11/02-21 15 4 1 27 58 W 8 8 4 1 NW31 872 SW 5 3804 P 11/02-22 15 4 1 26 57 W 8 8 4 1 NW29 681 SW 6 3104 P 11/02-23 15 4 1 26 55 W 8 8 4 1 NW28 489 SW 6 2405 P 11/03-00 12 0 0 25 53 W 8 8 4 1 NW26 298 SW 7 1705 P 11/03-01 12 0 0 24 52 W 8 8 4 1 NW25 252 W 7 1490 P 11/03-02 12 0 0 23 50 W 9 9 4 1 NW24 205 W 7 1275 P 11/03-03 12 0 0 23 50 W 9 9 4 1 W23 159 W 8 1059 P 11/03-04 12 0 0 22 50 W 9 9 4 1 W23 146 W 7 941 P 11/03-05 12 0 0 21 51 W 8 8 4 1 W24 132 W 7 823 P 11/03-06 14 0 0 21 53 W 8 8 4 1 W23 119 W 7 705 P 11/03-07 14 0 0 21 58 W 8 8 4 1 W21 112 W 7 672 P 11/03-08 14 0 0 22 64 W 8 8 4 1 W17 104 W 7 640 P 11/03-09 14 0 0 23 69 W 7 7 4 1 W15 97 W 7 608 P 11/03-10 14 0 0 26 71 W 6 6 4 1 W16 122 W 6 579 P 11/03-11 14 0 0 29 70 SW 3 3 5 1 SW18 148 W 5 550 P 11/03-12 13 0 0 33 66 SW 2 2 5 1 SW20 173 SW 3 520 P 11/03-13 13 0 0 37 59 S 2 2 5 1 SW20 420 SW 6 2638 P 11/03-14 13 0 0 41 52 S 3 3 4 1 SW18 667 SW 7 4755 P 11/03-15 13 0 0 43 48 S 3 3 4 1 SW18 913 SW 9 6873 P 11/03-16 13 0 0 42 48 S 3 3 4 1 SW21 760 SW 8 5519 P 11/03-17 13 0 0 40 51 SW 2 2 4 1 SW23 607 SW 8 4165 P 11/03-18 13 0 0 38 52 SW 2 2 4 1 W26 453 SW 7 2811 P 11/03-19 13 0 0 39 49 SW 2 2 4 1 W29 462 SW 7 2919 P 11/03-20 13 0 0 37 49 W 3 3 3 1 W31 472 SW 7 3027 P 11/03-21 13 0 0 36 49 W 5 5 3 1 W32 481 SW 8 3135 P 11/03-22 13 0 0 35 48 W 5 5 3 1 W31 405 SW 7 2579 P 11/03-23 13 0 0 35 48 W 6 6 3 1 W30 330 W 7 2024 P 11/04-00 9 3 1 34 47 W 6 6 3 1 W29 254 W 7 1468 P 11/04-01 9 3 1 33 47 W 6 6 3 1 W33 235 W 7 1373 P 11/04-02 9 3 1 32 48 W 7 7 3 1 W37 215 W 7 1278 P 11/04-03 9 3 1 32 49 W 7 7 3 1 W39 196 W 7 1184 P 11/04-04 9 3 1 31 50 W 7 7 3 1 SW35 177 W 7 1108 P 11/04-05 9 3 1 31 52 W 7 7 4 1 SW28 159 W 8 1032 P 11/04-06 14 4 1 30 55 W 7 7 4 1 SW18 141 SW 8 956 P 11/04-07 14 4 1 30 58 W 7 7 1 11/04-08 14 4 1 31 61 SW 6 6 1 11/04-09 14 4 1 32 64 SW 6 6 1 11/04-10 14 4 1 34 64 SW 5 5 1 11/04-11 14 4 1 37 62 SW 5 5 1 11/04-12 31 5 1 39 58 SW 3 3 1 11/04-13 31 5 1 42 52 S 3 3 1 11/04-14 31 5 1 45 47 S 2 2 1 11/04-15 31 5 1 46 44 S 2 2 1 11/04-16 31 5 1 46 45 S 2 2 1 11/04-17 31 5 1 44 47 CALM 1 1 11/04-18 47 16 3 42 49 CALM 1 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TONY SIMONS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111101.CARTE.01/BOU