FNUS75 KBOU 012233 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH DEER MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 430 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 7 TO 14 INCHES BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER CONDTIONS AND A SLOW WARM UP FOR EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-23. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 3600-4600 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2300. GOOD AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300. 1600 FT AGL AFTER 1500 UNTIL 1600. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NORTH DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/01-16 91 47 23 36 80 SW 3 3 2 1 SW53 2959 SW26 88357 G 11/01-17 91 47 23 33 85 CALM 1 2 1 SW52 1660 SW16 45224 F 11/01-18 98 93 89 30 93 CALM 1 2 1 SW49 362 SW 7 2091 P 11/01-19 98 93 89 26 100 CALM 1 2 1 SW46 335 S 6 1669 P 11/01-20 98 93 89 25 99 E 3 3 2 1 SW44 308 SE 5 1248 P 11/01-21 98 90 84 23 100 E 5 5 2 1 SW41 281 E 3 826 P 11/01-22 98 90 84 22 97 NE 7 7 2 1 SW43 1170 E 8 16872 P 11/01-23 98 90 84 22 91 NE 9 14 2 1 SW43 2060 NE14 32918 P 11/02-00 100 93 89 22 86 N10 16 2 1 S41 2949 NE20 48964 F 11/02-01 100 93 89 21 80 N12 17 2 1 S36 3434 NE21 62237 G 11/02-02 100 93 89 21 74 N10 17 2 1 SW29 3918 NE22 75510 G 11/02-03 100 93 89 22 68 N10 16 2 1 SW22 4402 NE23 88783 G 11/02-04 100 93 89 21 68 N 9 16 2 1 SW16 4556 NE24 96069 G 11/02-05 100 93 89 20 68 N 9 14 2 1 SW12 4711 N25 103354 V 11/02-06 99 81 70 20 69 N 8 13 2 1 W10 4865 N26 110639 V 11/02-07 99 81 70 20 73 N 7 7 2 1 W12 4910 N24 101865 V 11/02-08 99 81 70 20 77 N 7 7 2 1 NW15 4956 N22 93091 G 11/02-09 99 81 70 20 80 N 6 6 2 1 NW20 5001 N20 84317 G 11/02-10 99 81 70 20 77 N 5 5 2 1 NW23 5087 N17 78582 G 11/02-11 99 81 70 21 71 NW 5 5 2 1 NW26 5173 N16 72847 G 11/02-12 68 22 4 22 65 NW 5 5 2 1 NW30 5260 N15 67111 G 11/02-13 68 22 4 23 60 NW 5 5 2 1 NW32 5090 N16 70613 G 11/02-14 68 22 4 24 56 NW 6 6 2 1 NW36 4921 N17 74116 G 11/02-15 68 22 4 25 54 NW 6 6 2 1 NW38 4751 N18 77618 G 11/02-16 68 22 4 24 54 NW 5 5 3 1 NW43 3905 NW17 60700 G 11/02-17 68 22 4 23 55 W 3 3 3 1 N46 3059 NW16 43781 F 11/02-18 20 4 1 21 59 W 3 3 4 1 N47 2214 NW14 26863 P 11/02-19 20 4 1 18 64 W 5 5 4 1 N45 1673 NW12 19044 P 11/02-20 20 4 1 18 65 W 6 6 4 1 NW40 1132 NW 9 11225 P 11/02-21 20 4 1 16 68 W 7 7 4 1 NW36 591 NW 7 3406 P 11/02-22 20 4 1 15 69 W 8 13 1 11/02-23 20 4 1 15 68 W 8 14 1 11/03-00 16 0 0 15 67 W 9 15 4 1 NW33 201 W 8 1443 P 11/03-01 16 0 0 15 65 W10 16 1 11/03-02 16 0 0 15 62 W12 17 1 11/03-03 16 0 0 14 61 W12 18 4 1 NW28 108 W10 1027 P 11/03-04 16 0 0 14 60 W12 17 1 11/03-05 16 0 0 14 60 W10 16 1 11/03-06 15 0 0 13 62 W 9 15 4 1 W25 81 W10 690 P 11/03-07 15 0 0 13 68 W 8 14 1 11/03-08 15 0 0 12 78 W 8 8 1 11/03-09 15 0 0 13 81 W 7 7 4 1 W26 77 W 7 493 P 11/03-10 15 0 0 17 77 W 6 6 1 11/03-11 15 0 0 24 62 SW 6 6 1 11/03-12 15 0 0 31 52 SW 6 6 4 1 SW18 514 SW15 6734 P 11/03-13 15 0 0 36 44 SW 6 6 1 11/03-14 15 0 0 36 43 SW 7 7 1 11/03-15 15 0 0 37 40 SW 8 13 4 1 SW26 1692 SW24 34972 P 11/03-16 15 0 0 37 40 SW 9 15 1 11/03-17 15 0 0 35 41 SW10 17 1 11/03-18 18 0 0 33 42 SW12 18 4 1 SW29 1228 W29 30987 P 11/03-19 18 0 0 31 42 W10 17 1 11/03-20 18 0 0 30 40 W10 16 1 11/03-21 18 0 0 29 39 W 9 15 4 1 SW24 694 W29 17225 P 11/03-22 18 0 0 28 37 W10 16 1 11/03-23 18 0 0 28 35 W12 18 1 11/04-00 11 3 1 28 34 W13 21 2 1 11/04-01 11 3 1 27 35 W13 21 1 11/04-02 11 3 1 27 37 W13 21 1 11/04-03 11 3 1 27 41 W13 21 2 1 11/04-04 11 3 1 27 45 W13 20 1 11/04-05 11 3 1 26 50 SW12 20 1 11/04-06 15 4 1 26 55 SW12 18 2 1 11/04-07 15 4 1 26 61 SW10 17 1 11/04-08 15 4 1 25 68 SW 9 16 1 11/04-09 15 4 1 26 70 SW 9 15 2 1 11/04-10 15 4 1 28 68 SW 9 15 1 11/04-11 15 4 1 33 59 SW10 16 1 11/04-12 37 6 1 37 51 SW10 16 2 1 11/04-13 37 6 1 40 45 SW10 16 1 11/04-14 37 6 1 40 43 SW10 16 1 11/04-15 37 6 1 41 40 SW 9 15 2 1 11/04-16 37 6 1 40 40 SW 8 14 1 11/04-17 37 6 1 38 42 S 7 7 1 11/04-18 52 18 4 36 46 S 7 7 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111101.NORTH.02/BOU