FNUS75 KBOU 012241 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 442 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 7 TO 14 INCHES BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER CONDTIONS AND A SLOW WARM UP FOR EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-22. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1200-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2400. GOOD AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27. MIN HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300. 1800 FT AGL AFTER 1500 UNTIL 1600. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/01-16 91 49 25 36 81 SW 3 3 2 1 SW54 3671 SW30 111271 V 11/01-17 91 49 25 34 86 CALM 1 2 1 SW52 2600 SW23 65466 G 11/01-18 97 93 89 30 94 CALM 1 2 1 SW49 1530 SW15 19662 P 11/01-19 97 93 89 27 100 CALM 1 2 1 SW46 1121 S10 13167 P 11/01-20 97 93 89 26 99 E 3 3 2 1 SW44 712 SE 6 6672 P 11/01-21 97 90 84 24 100 E 5 5 2 1 SW41 303 CALM 177 P 11/01-22 97 90 84 23 98 E 7 7 2 1 SW41 1171 E 7 15113 P 11/01-23 97 90 84 23 92 NE 9 14 2 1 SW41 2039 NE13 30048 P 11/02-00 100 94 90 22 87 N10 16 2 1 S40 2907 NE17 44984 F 11/02-01 100 94 90 22 81 N12 17 2 1 S35 3406 NE20 58679 F 11/02-02 100 94 90 22 74 N10 17 2 1 SW28 3906 NE21 72375 G 11/02-03 100 94 90 22 69 N10 16 2 1 SW21 4405 NE23 86071 G 11/02-04 100 94 90 22 68 N 9 16 2 1 SW15 4591 NE23 93182 G 11/02-05 100 94 90 21 68 N 9 14 2 1 SW12 4777 N24 100294 V 11/02-06 98 81 70 21 69 N 8 13 2 1 W10 4963 N25 107406 V 11/02-07 98 81 70 20 74 N 7 7 2 1 W12 5006 N23 99246 G 11/02-08 98 81 70 20 78 N 7 7 2 1 NW15 5048 N21 91086 G 11/02-09 98 81 70 20 81 N 6 6 2 1 NW20 5091 N18 82926 G 11/02-10 98 81 70 21 78 N 5 5 2 1 NW23 5154 N17 77684 G 11/02-11 98 81 70 22 71 NW 5 5 2 1 NW25 5217 N16 72441 G 11/02-12 69 22 4 23 64 NW 5 5 2 1 NW29 5281 N15 67198 G 11/02-13 69 22 4 25 58 NW 5 5 2 1 NW31 5146 N16 72391 G 11/02-14 69 22 4 26 54 NW 6 6 2 1 NW35 5012 N18 77585 G 11/02-15 69 22 4 26 51 NW 6 6 2 1 NW38 4877 N20 82778 G 11/02-16 69 22 4 25 50 NW 5 5 3 1 NW41 4021 NW18 64909 G 11/02-17 69 22 4 24 51 W 3 3 3 1 N45 3165 NW16 47039 F 11/02-18 19 3 1 22 55 W 3 3 4 1 N47 2308 NW15 29170 P 11/02-19 19 3 1 19 60 W 5 5 4 1 N45 1751 NW12 20742 P 11/02-20 19 3 1 19 61 W 6 6 4 1 NW40 1193 NW 9 12314 P 11/02-21 19 3 1 17 65 W 7 7 4 1 NW36 636 NW 7 3886 P 11/02-22 19 3 1 17 67 W 7 7 1 11/02-23 19 3 1 16 68 W 8 13 1 11/03-00 16 0 0 16 68 W 8 13 4 1 NW33 198 W 9 1509 P 11/03-01 16 0 0 16 67 W 9 14 1 11/03-02 16 0 0 16 64 W10 16 1 11/03-03 16 0 0 15 64 W10 16 4 1 NW26 110 W12 1095 P 11/03-04 16 0 0 15 62 W10 16 1 11/03-05 16 0 0 15 62 W10 16 1 11/03-06 15 0 0 14 64 W 9 15 4 1 W25 82 W10 729 P 11/03-07 15 0 0 13 70 W 8 14 1 11/03-08 15 0 0 13 79 W 8 8 1 11/03-09 15 0 0 14 82 W 7 7 4 1 W25 76 W 8 501 P 11/03-10 15 0 0 18 77 W 6 6 1 11/03-11 15 0 0 25 60 SW 6 6 1 11/03-12 15 0 0 32 49 SW 6 6 4 1 SW18 545 SW16 7811 P 11/03-13 15 0 0 37 42 SW 6 6 1 11/03-14 15 0 0 37 41 SW 7 7 1 11/03-15 15 0 0 39 38 SW 8 13 4 1 S25 1820 SW25 39196 P 11/03-16 15 0 0 38 38 SW 9 15 1 11/03-17 15 0 0 36 39 SW10 16 1 11/03-18 18 0 0 34 40 SW10 16 4 1 SW28 1445 W31 38519 P 11/03-19 18 0 0 32 41 W 9 15 1 11/03-20 18 0 0 31 38 W 8 14 1 11/03-21 18 0 0 30 36 W 8 13 4 1 SW24 842 W31 22774 P 11/03-22 18 0 0 29 34 W 9 15 1 11/03-23 18 0 0 29 32 W10 16 1 11/04-00 11 3 1 29 32 SW12 18 2 1 11/04-01 11 3 1 28 34 W12 18 1 11/04-02 11 3 1 29 36 W10 17 1 11/04-03 11 3 1 28 41 W10 16 2 1 11/04-04 11 3 1 28 45 W10 17 1 11/04-05 11 3 1 28 51 SW12 18 1 11/04-06 15 4 1 27 58 SW12 18 2 1 11/04-07 15 4 1 26 65 SW10 16 1 11/04-08 15 4 1 26 72 SW 8 13 1 11/04-09 15 4 1 27 74 SW 7 7 2 1 11/04-10 15 4 1 29 72 SW 7 7 1 11/04-11 15 4 1 34 61 SW 8 14 1 11/04-12 37 5 1 38 53 SW 9 15 2 1 11/04-13 37 5 1 41 46 SW 9 15 1 11/04-14 37 5 1 41 44 SW 8 14 1 11/04-15 37 5 1 42 40 SW 8 13 2 1 11/04-16 37 5 1 41 41 SW 8 8 1 11/04-17 37 5 1 39 43 S 7 7 1 11/04-18 51 16 3 37 46 S 7 7 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111101.WESTD.02/BOU