FNUS73 KDVN 011658 FWSDVN SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKHAWK SHS S234 IGNITIONS OPERATIONS CLASS...RISWCD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1158 AM CDT TUE NOV 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON NOVEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN IOWA THIS MORNING WILL CAUSE SOUTH WINDS TO INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AT 15 TO 25 MPH FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO 10 MPH AROUND SUNSET. A COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY MORNING... SWITCHING WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THE FRONT...REACHING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH BY 2 PM. WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH...BECOMING MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BY 2 PM. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1200 FT AROUND SUNSET. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 67 68 64 RH..............44 42 39 45 EYE LEVEL WIND..200/6 200/10 190/12 180/10 EYE LEVEL GUST..14 17 18 12 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 11 AM TO 2 PM. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...SHEETS REQUESTED BY...MATT SCHRAMM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111101.BLACK.02/DVN