FNUS75 KGJT 312300
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER FLATS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
500 PM MDT MON OCT 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL DROP INTO THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER THE FIRE SITE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. EXPECT TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO THOSE EXPERIENCED MONDAY.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS
DEVELOPING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL MIX
WITH SNOW INITIALLY BUT WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH
AN INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20
    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 AROUND 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400-2800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (162200 KNOT-FT) BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (134100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD
    (34400-71800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-3300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JEFF PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111101.SNYDE.01/GJT