FNUS76 KMFR 010237
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
737 PM PDT MON OCT 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO OREGON FROM THE NORTH WILL
RESULT IN NORTHEAST WINDS...COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND LOWER
HUMIDITIES ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL TREND A BIT HIGHER TUESDAY
COMPARED TO MONDAY. DAYTIME MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
STEADY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHILE WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY
ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AFTER A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY...THURSDAY WILL FEATURE A SHARP
COOLING TREND AND A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MIXING HEIGHTS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT. ADDITIONALLY...RAIN
CHANGING TO SNOW WILL IMPACT THE BURN SITE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-59. TEMPERATURE AT IGNITION TIME...33.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT. HUMIDITY AT IGNITION TIME...65
                    PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 18 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-27.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING BECOMING 2700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOWS 26 TO 31. HIGHS 49 TO 54. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 21 TO 25. HIGHS 38 TO 41. NORTHWEST WINDS
2 TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 22 TO 27. HIGHS 37 TO
42. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111101.DUKE_.01/MFR