FNUS76 KMFR 020714
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JESS...USFS, MODOC N.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1214 AM PDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1821 PDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MILD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A STRONG COLD
FRONT ON THURSDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
THE FRONT WILL LAG AND WON'T MAKE IT THROUGH THE FIRE AREA UNTIL
THURSDAY EVENING...BRINGING A POSSIBLE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THE
EVENING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH INCREASING TO 4-7 MPH THROUGH
                    THE MORNING. WIND EASING TO SOUTH 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH THROUGH
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3-4 MPH INCREASING TO 5-8 MPH
                    THROUGH THE MORNING. WIND EASING TO SOUTH 4-6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THEN INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO 2 TO 4 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY, BREEZY AND COLDER. RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING
                    TO 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH FOR THE MIDDAY/EARLY
                    AFTERNOON EASING TO 2-4 MPH BY EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST AND DECREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
COLD. CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. LOWS 22 TO 27. HIGHS 35 TO 40. LIGHT WIND.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLD. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AT NIGHT. LOWS 19 TO 24.
HIGHS 35 TO 40. LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 26. HIGHS 38 TO
43. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...STAVISH/SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE JOHNSTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111101.JESS_.01/MFR