FNUS76 KMFR 010132
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
632 PM PDT MON OCT 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO OREGON FROM THE NORTH WILL
RESULT IN NORTHEAST WINDS...COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND LOWER
HUMIDITIES ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL TREND A BIT HIGHER TUESDAY
COMPARED TO MONDAY. DAYTIME MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
STEADY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHILE WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY
ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AFTER A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY...THURSDAY WILL FEATURE A SHARP
COOLING TREND AND A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MIXING HEIGHTS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53. TEMP AT IGNITION TIME...31.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT. HUMIDITY AT IGNITION TIME...65 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-22.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING BECOMING 2800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOWS 26 TO 31. HIGHS 47 TO 53. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 24. HIGHS 37 TO 42. NORTHWEST WINDS
2 TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 26. HIGHS 36 TO
41. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111101.SMOKE.01/MFR