FNUS73 KPAH 011807 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWLEYS RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 107 PM CDT TUE NOV 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 CDT ON NOVEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S THIS AFTERNOON. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST OF THE AREA...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. FOR WEDNESDAY...SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MARK TWAIN AND SHAWNEE FORESTS. SOME INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED...WHICH MAY KEEP HUMIDITIES FROM APPROACHING CRITICAL LEVELS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH...GUSTING TO 20 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL AT IGNITION... INCREASING TO 4500-5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 69 70 70 68 63 RH..............26 24 22 22 27 34 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 12 12 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 4.4 5.4 5.6 4.5 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 21 20 14 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 33 TO 38 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 55 67 70 RH..............76 57 40 36 20 FT WIND......S 4G5 S 6G10 S 10G15 S 11G25 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1600 4000 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 33 S 35 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...MATT BOWYER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111101.CROWL.01/PAH