FNUS75 KBOU 012222 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NFSR 250...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 420 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING ALL SNOW LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. DRIER CONDTIONS AND A SLOW WARM UP FOR EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 2000...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1000-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24. MIN HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....4. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 1200-2200 FT AGL AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1600. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. FAIR AFTER 1500 UNTIL 1600. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NFSR 250. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/01-16 91 52 28 37 64 SW14 21 4 1 SW56 1022 SW16 15144 P 11/01-17 91 52 28 35 68 SW10 17 4 1 SW56 890 W14 10988 P 11/01-18 99 78 65 32 73 SW 9 15 4 1 SW56 757 W10 6833 P 11/01-19 99 78 65 29 81 W 8 14 4 1 SW53 741 W10 6955 P 11/01-20 99 78 65 26 89 W 9 14 4 1 SW49 725 W12 7076 P 11/01-21 99 83 73 23 97 W 9 15 4 1 W44 709 NW12 7198 P 11/01-22 99 83 73 22 97 W10 16 4 1 SW39 829 NW15 10955 P 11/01-23 99 83 73 20 100 W12 17 3 1 SW33 950 N17 14712 P 11/02-00 99 87 79 19 100 NW12 18 3 1 S28 1070 N20 18469 P 11/02-01 99 87 79 18 96 NW12 17 3 1 SW24 1189 N20 20098 P 11/02-02 99 87 79 17 87 NW10 16 3 1 SW21 1308 N20 21727 P 11/02-03 99 87 79 18 77 NW 9 15 3 1 SW18 1427 NE18 23356 P 11/02-04 99 87 79 17 74 NW 8 13 3 1 W16 1202 NE17 18677 P 11/02-05 99 87 79 16 73 NW 7 7 2 1 NW14 978 NE16 13998 P 11/02-06 92 68 50 15 75 NW 7 7 2 1 NW13 753 N14 9319 P 11/02-07 92 68 50 14 79 N 8 13 2 1 NW14 912 NE14 11401 P 11/02-08 92 68 50 14 84 N 9 14 2 1 NW16 1071 NE15 13484 P 11/02-09 92 68 50 15 86 NE 9 15 2 1 NW21 1230 NE15 15566 P 11/02-10 92 68 50 16 79 N 8 13 2 1 NW32 2063 NE13 19080 P 11/02-11 92 68 50 19 70 N 6 6 2 1 NW44 2896 N10 22593 P 11/02-12 67 32 11 21 61 NW 5 5 2 1 N52 3729 N 8 26107 P 11/02-13 67 32 11 24 55 NW 3 3 2 1 N53 3610 N 8 24840 P 11/02-14 67 32 11 24 56 NW 3 3 2 1 N49 3492 N 8 23574 P 11/02-15 67 32 11 24 57 W 3 3 2 1 N45 3374 NW 8 22307 P 11/02-16 67 32 11 24 59 W 3 3 3 1 N43 2406 NW 7 15522 P 11/02-17 67 32 11 24 62 W 5 5 3 1 N41 1438 W 6 8737 P 11/02-18 30 4 1 20 73 W 5 5 4 1 N39 470 W 5 1952 P 11/02-19 30 4 1 17 80 W 5 5 4 1 N38 382 W 5 1468 P 11/02-20 30 4 1 14 86 SW 3 3 4 1 NW36 293 SW 3 984 P 11/02-21 30 4 1 12 90 SW 2 2 4 1 NW35 204 SW 2 500 P 11/02-22 30 4 1 11 87 SW 3 3 1 11/02-23 30 4 1 10 89 SW 6 6 1 11/03-00 18 0 0 9 88 SW 7 7 4 1 NW32 166 SW 7 1017 P 11/03-01 18 0 0 7 88 SW 7 7 1 11/03-02 18 0 0 7 86 SW 6 6 1 11/03-03 18 0 0 6 86 SW 5 5 5 1 NW23 144 SW 6 664 P 11/03-04 18 0 0 6 86 SW 6 6 1 11/03-05 18 0 0 5 88 SW 7 7 1 11/03-06 13 0 0 5 90 SW 8 13 5 1 W28 126 SW 8 880 P 11/03-07 13 0 0 5 93 SW 7 7 1 11/03-08 13 0 0 4 100 SW 6 6 1 11/03-09 13 0 0 6 100 S 5 5 5 1 W24 180 SW 6 840 P 11/03-10 13 0 0 12 82 S 6 6 1 11/03-11 13 0 0 23 56 S 7 7 1 11/03-12 13 0 0 30 47 S 8 13 5 1 SW24 1121 S10 10220 P 11/03-13 13 0 0 33 45 SW 9 14 1 11/03-14 13 0 0 34 46 SW 9 15 1 11/03-15 13 0 0 36 43 SW10 16 5 1 SW32 2208 SW21 40162 F 11/03-16 13 0 0 35 46 SW13 21 1 11/03-17 13 0 0 34 49 SW15 24 1 11/03-18 19 0 0 32 52 SW16 25 4 1 W36 877 SW17 13319 P 11/03-19 19 0 0 30 55 SW14 22 1 11/03-20 19 0 0 27 57 SW10 17 1 11/03-21 19 0 0 25 57 S 8 13 4 1 SW43 217 SW10 2005 P 11/03-22 19 0 0 24 54 SW 9 14 1 11/03-23 19 0 0 23 54 SW10 17 1 11/04-00 11 3 1 22 53 SW13 21 2 1 11/04-01 11 3 1 21 55 SW13 20 1 11/04-02 11 3 1 20 57 SW12 18 1 11/04-03 11 3 1 20 61 SW12 18 2 1 11/04-04 11 3 1 19 64 SW13 20 1 11/04-05 11 3 1 19 69 SW14 22 1 11/04-06 19 10 2 19 74 SW15 24 2 1 11/04-07 19 10 2 18 79 SW15 23 1 11/04-08 19 10 2 17 87 S14 23 1 11/04-09 19 10 2 19 88 S14 22 2 1 11/04-10 19 10 2 23 77 S15 23 1 11/04-11 19 10 2 31 59 SW16 25 1 11/04-12 51 21 4 35 51 SW17 28 2 1 11/04-13 51 21 4 37 48 SW18 29 1 11/04-14 51 21 4 38 46 SW18 29 1 11/04-15 51 21 4 39 43 S18 30 2 1 11/04-16 51 21 4 38 44 S18 29 1 11/04-17 51 21 4 36 48 S18 29 1 11/04-18 72 38 16 34 52 S17 28 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111102.NFSR2.01/BOU