FNUS75 KBOU 012150 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 350 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING ALL SNOW LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 7 TO 14 INCHES BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER CONDTIONS AND A SLOW WARM UP FOR EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 2000...THEN SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300. 3800-4800 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2400. VERY GOOD AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25. MIN HUMIDITY........70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000. POOR AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RENOLDSRANCH RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/01-15 90 35 13 36 78 N 8 13 3 1 W52 639 SW 3 1978 P 11/01-16 90 35 13 35 78 NE 7 7 3 1 SW52 492 S 3 1439 P 11/01-17 90 35 13 32 83 NE 6 6 3 1 SW52 345 E 2 899 P 11/01-18 97 82 71 28 94 NE 5 5 3 1 SW51 198 E 2 360 P 11/01-19 97 82 71 25 100 NE 5 5 3 1 SW47 209 E 3 642 P 11/01-20 97 82 71 25 99 NE 6 6 3 1 SW44 220 NE 5 924 P 11/01-21 97 90 84 24 100 NE 7 7 3 1 SW40 230 NE 6 1206 P 11/01-22 97 90 84 22 100 NE 8 14 3 1 SW39 887 NE10 13993 P 11/01-23 97 90 84 22 97 NE10 16 3 1 SW39 1543 NE16 26780 P 11/02-00 100 90 84 23 90 NE12 18 3 1 SW38 2200 N21 39567 P 11/02-01 100 90 84 22 86 NE12 20 3 1 SW32 2909 NE24 63659 G 11/02-02 100 90 84 22 79 NE12 20 2 1 S25 3618 NE26 87750 G 11/02-03 100 90 84 22 71 NE12 18 2 1 S20 4327 NE30 111842 V 11/02-04 100 90 84 21 71 NE10 17 2 1 SW14 4553 NE30 116588 V 11/02-05 100 90 84 20 72 N10 16 2 1 W10 4779 NE29 121334 V 11/02-06 100 80 68 21 70 N 9 15 2 1 W 9 5005 N29 126080 V 11/02-07 100 80 68 20 75 N 8 14 2 1 NW13 4992 N26 114755 V 11/02-08 100 80 68 20 82 N 8 13 2 1 NW17 4979 N24 103429 V 11/02-09 100 80 68 20 87 N 7 7 2 1 NW22 4966 N22 92103 G 11/02-10 100 80 68 20 87 N 5 5 2 1 NW24 4928 N18 80675 G 11/02-11 100 80 68 20 84 N 2 2 2 1 NW25 4891 N16 69247 G 11/02-12 70 22 4 21 80 CALM 1 2 1 NW26 4853 N14 57819 F 11/02-13 70 22 4 22 78 NW 2 2 2 1 NW30 4466 N14 55108 F 11/02-14 70 22 4 22 75 NW 3 3 2 1 NW33 4080 N15 52398 F 11/02-15 70 22 4 22 74 W 5 5 2 1 NW37 3693 N15 49688 F 11/02-16 70 22 4 22 74 W 5 5 3 1 NW41 2867 NW14 36547 P 11/02-17 70 22 4 21 75 W 5 5 3 1 N46 2040 NW12 23406 P 11/02-18 16 7 1 19 81 W 5 5 4 1 N47 1213 W 9 10264 P 11/02-19 16 7 1 17 84 W 6 6 4 1 N45 938 W 9 7900 P 11/02-20 16 7 1 16 80 W 7 7 4 1 NW40 663 W 9 5536 P 11/02-21 16 7 1 15 78 W 8 13 4 1 NW35 387 W 9 3172 P 11/02-22 16 7 1 14 76 W 8 14 1 11/02-23 16 7 1 14 71 W 9 14 1 11/03-00 14 0 0 15 66 W 9 15 4 1 NW32 189 W 9 1463 P 11/03-01 14 0 0 14 64 W10 16 1 11/03-02 14 0 0 14 61 W12 17 1 11/03-03 14 0 0 13 60 W12 18 4 1 NW26 101 W10 947 P 11/03-04 14 0 0 13 59 W12 18 1 11/03-05 14 0 0 12 60 W10 17 1 11/03-06 13 0 0 12 63 W10 16 4 1 W23 69 W10 634 P 11/03-07 13 0 0 12 68 W10 16 1 11/03-08 13 0 0 13 74 W 9 15 1 11/03-09 13 0 0 17 68 W 9 15 5 1 W25 78 W10 677 P 11/03-10 13 0 0 26 53 W 8 14 1 11/03-11 13 0 0 30 51 SW 8 8 1 11/03-12 13 0 0 35 45 SW 7 7 5 1 SW17 293 W 9 2280 P 11/03-13 13 0 0 35 46 SW 7 7 1 11/03-14 13 0 0 36 46 SW 7 7 1 11/03-15 13 0 0 35 47 SW 7 7 5 1 S29 434 W16 6278 P 11/03-16 13 0 0 35 48 SW 8 8 1 11/03-17 13 0 0 33 50 W 8 14 1 11/03-18 13 0 0 30 53 W 9 15 5 1 SW28 260 W17 3876 P 11/03-19 13 0 0 28 53 W 9 15 1 11/03-20 13 0 0 28 50 W 9 15 1 11/03-21 13 0 0 27 48 W 9 15 5 1 SW22 196 W16 2843 P 11/03-22 13 0 0 27 45 W10 16 1 11/03-23 13 0 0 27 42 W10 17 1 11/04-00 9 3 1 27 40 W12 18 2 1 11/04-01 9 3 1 26 41 W13 21 1 11/04-02 9 3 1 26 42 W14 22 1 11/04-03 9 3 1 25 45 W14 22 2 1 11/04-04 9 3 1 25 47 W13 21 1 11/04-05 9 3 1 25 51 SW12 18 1 11/04-06 15 4 1 24 56 SW10 16 2 1 11/04-07 15 4 1 24 60 SW10 16 1 11/04-08 15 4 1 25 62 SW10 17 1 11/04-09 15 4 1 28 58 SW10 16 2 1 11/04-10 15 4 1 34 49 SW 9 15 1 11/04-11 15 4 1 36 47 SW 8 13 1 11/04-12 34 7 1 40 42 SW 7 7 2 1 11/04-13 34 7 1 40 42 SW 7 7 1 11/04-14 34 7 1 41 41 SW 7 7 1 11/04-15 34 7 1 39 41 SW 7 7 2 1 11/04-16 34 7 1 39 42 SW 7 7 1 11/04-17 34 7 1 36 46 SW 8 8 1 11/04-18 49 19 4 33 51 S 8 13 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111102.REYNO.01/BOU