FNUS75 KGJT 020222
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GENEAVA DRIVE...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
822 PM MDT TUE NOV 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...REMNANTS OF THE STORM WHICH MOVED INTO THE AREA LAST
NIGHT WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...DIMINISHING AROUND
MIDDAY. FRESH SNOW COVER WILL INHIBIT MIXING AND FAVORS A LOW LEVEL
INVERSION WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. CONCURRENTLY...THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AS THE STORM CONTINUES TO DRIFT EASTWARD SO
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT. THESE ELEMENTS COMBINE
TO PRODUCE POOR VENTILATION DURING THE DAY...EXCEPT FOR PERIODS OF
FAIR DISPERSION IN MORNING SNOW SHOWERS. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
IMPROVE THURSDAY AS SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE NEXT
STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE SITE FRIDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%)...COLDER. NUMEROUS SNOW
    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SNOW
    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...OTHERWISE
    POOR. (19700-27500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....1 BELOW-4 ABOVE F.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600-1900 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN
    BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
    20 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH
                    AROUND 1300.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.GENEA.01/GJT