FNUS72 KJAX 021941 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 341 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1528 EDT ON NOVEMBER 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN ON THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILL FILTER OVER THE AREA FRIDAY. THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL BACK MORE TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER SUNSET WITH SPEEDS DECREASING BELOW 5 MPH TONIGHT. INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TONIGHT AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL PROMOTE FOG DEVELOPMENT AND A STRONGER LOW LEVEL INVERSION TONIGHT NEAR THE FIRE SITE. FRIDAY LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST DURING THE MORNING WITH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS. DURING THE AFTERNOON WINDS WILL VEER SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS MAY NEAR 15 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AND ALONG A COLD FRONT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 45 PERCENT TODAY AND THURSDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....3. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 46 46 61 65 65 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG TEMP............68 60 57 54 53 52 RH..............63 85 93 98 100 100 20 FT WIND......E 8 NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 3 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1700 1700 1100 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 NE 13 NE 13 E 9 E 7 E 7 LVORI...........10 10 10 10 10 10 DISPERSION INDX.58 9 9 7 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....34. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........65 64 64 62 61 61 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 50 61 72 77 77 RH..............100 100 85 59 48 49 20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 NE 2 E 2 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1000 2500 3900 3900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 SE 8 S 10 S 10 LVORI...........M M M M M M DISPERSION INDX.3 8 8 29 34 34 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...USFWS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111102.HONEY.01/JAX