FNUS73 KLSX 021230
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MINNINGHAW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
730 AM CDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0725 CDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AIR INTO THE REGION TODAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
OF ONLY AROUND 30 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON WITH RAIN OVERSPREADING THE
ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT AND CONTINUING ON THURSDAY. THE WIND WILL SHIFT
TO A NORTH OR NORTHWEST DIRECTION TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AFTER A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OUR AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT REQUEST...MAX 71.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WIND SOUTH AT 3 TO 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 26 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (12176 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...PERIODS OF RAIN DEVELOPING. A FEW STORMS.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0100...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 4 TO 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 11 TO 14 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...RAIN ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 4 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6913 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CVKING
REQUESTED BY...SANDY M
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111102.MINNI.01/LSX