FNUS73 KLSX 022334
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST FORK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
634 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1813 CDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS EVENING
AND MOVE EAST TONIGHT.  EXPECT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE
AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT.  A PASSING SHOWER MAY OCCUR BEFORE THEN
BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE.  EXPECT SEVERAL HOURS
OF STEADY RAIN OVERNIGHT WITH A BREAK IN THE RAIN DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS.  THE WIND WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 500 AM
AND 600 AM THURSDAY MORNING.  AFTER THAT...THE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO
TURN TO THE WEST DURING THE MID-MORNING...THEN THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT REQUEST...MIN 46.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST BEFORE SUNRISE.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE NIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 75 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH DURING THE
                    EARLY MORNING SHIFTING TO THE WEST THEN
                    NORTHWEST DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 8 TO 11 MPH UNTIL MID MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 31 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8484 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...SANDY MENDENHALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111102.WESTF.01/LSX