FNUS76 KMFR 020213
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
712 PM PDT TUE NOV 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MILD AND SUNNY WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. AS A RESULT OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT...EAST FLOW IN THE MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO SOUTH FLOW IN
THE AFTERNOON...BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LOW. INCREASING SOUTH
WINDS ARE ON TAP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. HEAVY CLOUDS
AND RAIN WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT. COOLER WEATHER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY FOLLOWS THROUGH
FRIDAY...THEN RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH ARRIVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 1-2 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL ABOVE THE LOW ELEVATION.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH VEERING TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH BY
                    NOON...THEN TO SOUTH 10-15 MPH BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EARLY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    SLIGHT CHANCE LATE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 2-3 MPH EASING TO 1 MPH OR LESS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR ZERO.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 3500 FEET
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING RISING TO 4500 FEET IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN
                    INCH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 25. HIGHS NEAR 45. NORTHWEST WIND 3-5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 20-25. HIGHS NEAR 45. SOUTHWEST WIND 3-5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 25-30. HIGHS NEAR 45.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND 3-5 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.DUKE_.01/MFR