FNUS76 KMTR 012159
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PASTURE VMP 11 2 2011...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
259 PM PDT TUE NOV 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE ENDING WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO TURN FROM EASTERLY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING TO A
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST DIRECTION BY IGNITION TIME WEDNESDAY AND A
WESTERLY DIRECTION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. SMOKE DISPERSION
SHOULD BE DECENT BY MID AFTERNOON WITH A MIXED ATMOSPHERE.
HOWEVER...BY LATE IN THE DAY SMOKE MAY SETTLE INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS
AS THE SUN SETS. POCKETS OF SMOKE COULD DRIFT INTO VALLEYS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.


FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT 11/2/11
   SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR
   TEMPERATURE.........57-63...HIGH 72-77
   HUMIDITY............45-50 PCT...MIN 25-35 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......E TO SE INITIALLY IN THE MORNING 3-6 MPH
                       BECOMING SW TO W 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
   20 FOOT WIND........E TO SE INITIALLY IN THE MORNING 4-7 MPH
                       BECOMING SW TO W 6-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       STRONGER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ONSHORE PUSH.
   CWR.................0 PCT
   LAL.................1
   MIXING HEIGHT
   TIME 1000...........1200 FT MSL AVG WINDS SE 5-7 MPH.
        1200...........1800 FT MSL AVG WINDS SW 8-10 MPH.
        1400...........3000 FT MSL AVG WINDS SW 10-12 MPH.
        1600...........1600 FT MSL AVG WINDS W 10-12 MPH

FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
   SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS.
   TEMPERATURE.........LOW 45-50
   HUMIDITY............MAX 80-90 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......W 3-5 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH
   20 FOOT WIND........W 4-7 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3-5
   CWR.................0 PCT
   LAL.................1

OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY AFTER NOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........HIGH 58
   HUMIDITY............MIN 50-60 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......SW IN THE MORNING BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON
                       6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
   20 FOOT WIND........SW IN THE MORNING BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON
                       8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
   CWR.................10 PCT
   LAL.................1

$$
FORECASTER...M_MEHLE
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN PANGBURN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.SOUTH.01/MTR
.EMAIL JONATHAN.PANGBURN@FIRE.CA.GOV,BEU.AROMASSTN@FIRE.CA.GOV,DENNIS.CARREIRO@FIRE.CA.GOV,RENO.DIT