FNUS76 KPQR 022253
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PATH...USFS MH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
353 PM PDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1540 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MAJOR WEATHER PATTERN CHANGE IS IN STORE AS A PACIFIC
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE THIS EVENING...BRINGING MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS.
NEAR THE FIRE SITE...EXPECT A SHIFT FROM FAIRLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
THIS EVENING TO SWITCH TO SOUTHWESTERLY THIS EVENING. MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL
FALL ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CASCADE CREST WITH THE FRONT...THOUGH THERE MAY
BE JUST ENOUGH LEFT TO GET 0.1 INCHES OF RAIN BEFORE MORNING. EITHER WAY...EXCELLENT
HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. EXPECT WEST WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW 10
MPH ON THURSDAY WITH LITTLE GUST POTENTIAL...AS WINDS ALOFT ARE WEAK. CHANCE
OF WETTING RAIN IS LOWER ON THURSDAY WITH MUCH LOWER SNOW LEVELS AND PASSING
SHOWERS.

CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.10 INCHES OR GREATER.
FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (%).............40
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH LATER THIS EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR (%).............20
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35 TO 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DONOFRIO
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MACDONALD
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.PATH_.01/PQR