FNUS76 KSTO 020433
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR VALLEY PILES...USFS STANISLAUS NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
933 PM PDT TUE NOV 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WITH BETTER OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN
AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    20-30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL
                    BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 30 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.


FORECASTER...TGD
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CONES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.BEARV.01/STO

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