FNUS76 KSTO 021303
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT  ELIZABETH DR  PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
603 AM PDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MILD WEATHER TODAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS. EARLY
MORNING WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN DRIVEN DOWNSLOPE/EASTERLY WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST/UPSLOPE FLOW THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES
AT BURNSITE WILL STILL BE VERY LOW TODAY BUT MODERATE TO GOOD
RECOVERIES EXPECTED TONIGHT. INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS AN INCOMING
STORM MOVES INLAND AND BRINGS MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE BURNSITE ON THURSDAY. THE STORM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF WETTING
RAIN/SNOW MIX TO BURNSITE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL
INITIALLY BE AROUND 6000 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN LOWER TO
AROUND 3500-4000 FEET OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    11 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 19 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 19 MPH.


FORECASTER...JBB
REQUESTED BY...STEVE BARAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.MTELI.01/STO

$$