FNUS76 KSTO 021315
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR REGIONAL LEARNING CENTER PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
615 AM PDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EARLY MORNING DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTHWEST/UPSLOPE FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES AT BURNSITE WILL STILL BE VERY LOW
TODAY BUT MODERATE TO GOOD RECOVERIES EXPECTED TONIGHT. INCREASING
CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS AN INCOMING STORM MOVES INLAND AND BRINGS MODERATE
TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE BURNSITE ON THURSDAY. THE STORM WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN TO BURNSITE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
WITH RAIN TOTAL ESTIMATES CURRENTLY BETWEEN 0.10-0.20". SNOW LEVELS WILL
INITIALLY BE AROUND 6000 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN LOWER TO
AROUND 3500-4000 FEET OVERNIGHT SO THERE MAY BE A RAIN/SNOW MIX AT THE
BURNSITE THURSDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....DOWNSLOPE WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 18 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 5800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 MPH.


FORECASTER...JBB
REQUESTED BY...STEVE BARAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111102.REGIO.01/STO

$$