FNUS75 KGJT 031430
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK KNOLLS-UPPER LOST PILES...USFS SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
830 AM MDT THU NOV 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE HAS BROUGHT CONSIDERABLE WARMING AND STABILIZATION
ALOFT...AT THE SAME TIME TRANSPORT WINDS HAVE DECREASED. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200-35000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MCDERMID
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111103.OAKKN.01/GJT