FNUS76 KMFR 030316
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
816 PM PDT WED NOV 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON NOVEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION COULD
BECOME ALL SNOW FOR A TIME. SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON...THEN NORTHWEST BY EVENING WITH SHOWERS
ENDING EARLY. FRIDAY SHOULD BE DRY UNDER COOL NORTHWEST FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN RAIN...OR A MIX OF
                    RAIN AND SNOW...ARRIVING BY AROUND 10 AM. SNOW
                    LEVEL 4000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 2-4 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-20 MPH
                    TOWARD NOON...THEN WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................83 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...
                    THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL AT
                    VALLEY FLOOR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR ZERO.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 22. HIGHS 44 TO 49.
LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 20 TO 25. HIGHS 43 TO 48. SOUTHWEST WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
21 TO 26. HIGHS 44 TO 49. LIGHT WIND.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111103.DUKE_.01/MFR