FNUS76 KMFR 031357
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LSR JACKPOT...USFS KNF GOOSENEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
657 AM PDT THU NOV 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN
AREA IN THE MID TO LATE MORNING. SOME WET SNOW IS EXPECTED
BEGINNING JUST AFTER  DAYBREAK...WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
AT TIMES NEAR THE 20 FT LEVEL ESPECIALLY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT
WILL BE MUCH LESS AT EYE LEVEL. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE EVENING...WITH MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE
WITH A MORE MOISTURE AND AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SNOW. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS NEXT FRONT ON
SATURDAY.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-41.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT EARLY THIS MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING WEST
                      5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                      GUSTS OF 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                     WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO
                     2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                     TO 500-1000 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                     6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3500 FT AGL
                     IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 23 TO 28. HIGHS 32 TO 39. SOUTH
WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 26 TO 31. HIGHS 34 TO 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 29 TO 34. HIGHS 38 TO
45. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...JEN BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111103.LSRJA.01/MFR