FNUS76 KSTO 031322
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTON SCHAADS VMP...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
622 AM PDT THU NOV 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON NOVEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH INCREASING RH VALUES AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS NORCAL TODAY INTO FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL BE ENHANCED TODAY AHEAD OF AND DURING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
THIS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS AND LOCALLY STRONG
GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURNSITE. WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT.
BEST CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN AT BURNSITE WILL OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE NIGHT. COLD AIR MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL CAUSE
SNOW LEVELS TO LOWER DOWN TOWARDS 3000 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
WHICH COULD MEAN A RAIN/SNOW MIX TONIGHT BECOMING SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT AT THE BURNSITE. ANOTHER STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    13 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 25 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500-8000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4300
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 MPH.


FORECASTER...JBB
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BUCHANAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111103.WINTO.01/STO

$$