FNUS75 KBOU 040948 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CAYLOR THINNING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 348 AM MDT FRI NOV 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE DRY WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER BY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT WINDS. DISPERSAL WILL STAY POOR THROUGH 1400 BUT THEN BECOME AFTER 1400. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....47. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9600-10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CAYLOR THINNING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/04-03 30 0 0 18 54 W 5 5 4 1 SW35 98 W 9 808 P 11/04-04 31 0 0 16 56 W 6 6 4 1 SW36 94 W 9 790 P 11/04-05 31 0 0 14 59 W 7 7 4 1 SW37 90 W10 772 P 11/04-06 31 0 0 14 59 W 7 7 4 1 SW37 86 W10 754 P 11/04-07 31 0 0 12 67 W 7 7 3 1 SW36 89 W 9 721 P 11/04-08 31 0 0 12 73 W 6 6 3 1 SW35 91 W 9 689 P 11/04-09 31 0 0 15 69 W 6 6 2 1 SW36 94 SW 8 656 P 11/04-10 31 0 0 20 61 SW 6 6 2 1 SW40 279 SW 9 2822 P 11/04-11 31 0 0 29 47 SW 7 7 2 1 SW47 465 SW12 4987 P 11/04-12 35 0 0 35 39 SW 8 13 2 1 SW53 650 SW13 7153 P 11/04-13 35 0 0 39 32 SW 9 15 2 1 SW56 1655 SW18 36597 P 11/04-14 35 0 0 44 27 SW10 16 2 1 SW60 2660 SW24 66041 G 11/04-15 35 0 0 46 23 S10 16 2 1 SW62 3665 SW30 95485 G 11/04-16 35 0 0 47 22 S10 16 3 1 SW66 3012 SW29 76375 G 11/04-17 35 0 0 47 21 S 9 16 4 1 SW67 2360 SW28 57265 F 11/04-18 47 0 0 41 26 S 9 15 4 1 SW68 1708 S25 38156 P 11/04-19 47 0 0 37 31 S 9 14 4 1 SW64 1293 S23 27763 P 11/04-20 47 0 0 35 37 S 8 13 3 1 SW61 877 S21 17370 P 11/04-21 47 0 0 33 41 S 8 13 2 1 SW60 462 S17 6977 P 11/04-22 47 0 0 32 47 SW 8 14 2 1 SW64 463 S18 7484 P 11/04-23 47 0 0 31 52 SW 9 15 2 1 SW73 465 SW20 7991 P 11/05-00 56 1 0 30 58 SW10 16 2 1 SW79 466 SW21 8498 P 11/05-01 56 1 0 29 64 SW12 17 2 1 SW85 511 SW23 10470 P 11/05-02 56 1 0 29 69 SW12 18 2 1 SW89 555 SW25 12442 P 11/05-03 56 1 0 28 74 SW13 21 2 1 SW92 600 SW28 14413 P 11/05-04 56 1 0 28 78 SW14 22 2 1SW100 703 SW28 17278 P 11/05-05 56 1 0 27 82 S15 24 2 1SW107 806 SW29 20143 P 11/05-06 60 30 9 27 85 S16 25 2 1SW107 909 S29 23008 P 11/05-07 60 30 9 27 85 SW17 28 2 1 SW96 1890 SW33 60258 G 11/05-08 60 30 9 27 83 SW20 31 2 1 SW78 2871 SW37 97508 G 11/05-09 60 30 9 29 74 SW21 33 2 1 SW56 3852 W40 134758 V 11/05-10 60 30 9 32 60 SW21 33 2 1 SW52 5297 W40 184760 E 11/05-11 60 30 9 34 47 W21 33 3 1 SW52 6742 W40 234762 E 11/05-12 60 30 9 35 39 W21 33 3 1 SW54 8187 W40 284764 E 11/05-13 60 30 9 36 36 W22 36 3 1 SW54 9176 W41 328294 E 11/05-14 60 30 9 36 34 W23 38 2 1 SW54 10165 W41 371824 E 11/05-15 60 30 9 36 33 W24 39 2 1 SW55 11154 W43 415354 E 11/05-16 60 30 9 36 33 W23 37 2 1 W59 9563 W46 372590 E 11/05-17 60 30 9 34 34 W21 33 2 1 W63 7972 W48 329826 E 11/05-18 25 0 0 30 39 W18 30 2 1 W67 6381 W52 287062 E 11/05-19 25 0 0 26 46 W17 26 2 1 W68 5480 W51 241373 E 11/05-20 25 0 0 23 51 W15 24 2 1 W67 4578 W48 195685 E 11/05-21 25 0 0 21 53 W14 22 2 1 W64 3677 W47 149997 V 11/05-22 25 0 0 19 56 W13 20 2 1 W62 3107 W41 118176 V 11/05-23 25 0 0 18 58 W12 12 2 1 W60 2538 W37 86354 G 11/06-00 25 0 0 17 60 W10 10 2 1 W58 1969 W32 54533 F 11/06-01 25 0 0 17 61 W10 10 2 1 W55 1707 W29 44676 F 11/06-02 25 0 0 16 63 W10 10 2 1 W54 1446 W26 34819 P 11/06-03 25 0 0 15 64 W10 10 2 1 SW54 1185 W24 24962 P 11/06-04 25 0 0 14 65 W10 10 2 1 SW54 1084 W24 22438 P 11/06-05 25 0 0 14 66 W10 10 2 1 SW55 982 W23 19914 P 11/06-06 20 0 0 13 68 W10 10 2 1 SW56 880 W23 17390 P 11/06-07 20 0 0 13 68 W 9 9 2 1 SW56 1327 W25 31766 P 11/06-08 20 0 0 15 63 W 9 9 2 1 SW58 1773 W29 46142 F 11/06-09 20 0 0 19 52 W 9 9 2 1 SW59 2220 W31 60519 G 11/06-10 20 0 0 24 42 W10 10 2 1 SW62 3232 W31 87358 G 11/06-11 20 0 0 28 35 W13 20 2 1 W64 4243 W31 114197 V 11/06-12 20 0 0 30 32 W14 22 2 1 W67 5255 W31 141036 V 11/06-13 20 0 0 32 29 W14 22 2 1 W67 5836 W29 143409 V 11/06-14 20 0 0 32 28 W13 21 2 1 W64 6417 W26 145782 V 11/06-15 20 0 0 33 26 W12 18 2 1 W62 6998 W24 148155 V 11/06-16 20 0 0 32 27 W10 10 2 1 W60 6396 W22 125241 V 11/06-17 20 0 0 31 28 SW 8 8 2 1 W56 5794 W20 102328 V 11/06-18 28 0 0 29 31 SW 7 7 2 1 W54 5191 W17 79415 G 11/06-19 28 0 0 25 37 SW 6 6 2 1 SW51 3818 SW16 56625 F 11/06-20 28 0 0 23 43 SW 6 6 2 1 SW47 2445 SW14 33834 P 11/06-21 28 0 0 22 48 SW 6 6 2 1 SW45 1071 SW12 11044 P 11/06-22 28 0 0 21 54 SW 5 5 2 1 SW43 852 SW10 8194 P 11/06-23 28 0 0 20 58 W 3 3 2 1 SW40 632 SW 8 5344 P 11/07-00 31 0 0 19 62 W 3 3 2 1 SW39 412 SW 7 2495 P 11/07-01 31 0 0 18 63 W 3 3 2 1 SW39 462 SW 7 2836 P 11/07-02 31 0 0 18 64 W 5 5 2 1 SW38 512 SW 7 3178 P 11/07-03 31 0 0 17 63 W 5 5 2 1 SW38 562 SW 7 3520 P 11/07-04 31 0 0 17 63 W 5 5 2 1 SW38 548 SW 6 3018 P 11/07-05 31 0 0 16 62 W 3 3 3 1 SW38 535 SW 6 2516 P 11/07-06 40 11 2 16 62 W 3 3 3 1 SW37 522 SW 5 2014 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RYAN HARLOW REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111104.CAYLO.01/BOU