FNUS75 KBOU 041334 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 734 AM MDT FRI NOV 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION... A DRY AIRMASS OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE STATE TODAY AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. THIS STORM WILL LIFT OUT OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND RACE NORTHEAST. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM NEARS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL RACE ACROSS THE AREA LATE SATURDAY MORNING OR EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS FRONT. THESE DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE DIVIDE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........45-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 26-36 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 40-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/04-07 38 0 0 24 47 W13 20 3 1 SW28 160 W15 2044 P 11/04-08 38 0 0 23 54 W12 18 3 1 SW35 154 W13 1757 P 11/04-09 38 0 0 25 57 W10 16 2 1 SW41 148 W12 1469 P 11/04-10 38 0 0 28 56 W10 17 2 1 SW46 1295 SW18 33436 P 11/04-11 38 0 0 35 47 SW12 20 2 1 SW51 2443 SW24 65402 G 11/04-12 44 0 0 39 45 SW13 21 2 1 SW53 3590 SW31 97368 G 11/04-13 44 0 0 43 40 SW13 20 2 1 SW56 4160 SW33 123239 V 11/04-14 44 0 0 43 39 SW12 18 2 1 SW59 4731 SW36 149111 V 11/04-15 44 0 0 44 37 SW10 16 2 1 SW61 5302 SW38 174982 E 11/04-16 44 0 0 42 38 SW 9 15 2 1 SW64 4309 SW33 132182 V 11/04-17 44 0 0 41 38 SW 8 13 2 1 SW69 3316 SW28 89383 G 11/04-18 55 0 0 40 39 SW 7 7 2 1 SW71 2323 S23 46584 F 11/04-19 55 0 0 36 44 SW 7 7 2 1 SW69 1654 SW21 32509 P 11/04-20 55 0 0 34 48 SW 7 7 2 1 SW64 985 SW18 18433 P 11/04-21 55 0 0 33 50 SW 8 13 2 1 SW63 316 SW16 4358 P 11/04-22 55 0 0 32 53 SW 8 14 2 1 SW66 307 SW16 4321 P 11/04-23 55 0 0 31 55 SW 9 14 2 1 S70 297 SW16 4285 P 11/05-00 59 7 1 30 58 SW 9 15 2 1 S74 287 SW17 4248 P 11/05-01 59 7 1 29 61 SW 9 15 2 1 S75 321 SW17 4993 P 11/05-02 59 7 1 29 64 SW 9 15 2 1 S76 355 SW18 5738 P 11/05-03 59 7 1 28 68 SW 9 15 2 1 S76 388 SW20 6483 P 11/05-04 59 7 1 28 72 SW 8 14 2 1 S79 471 SW20 7852 P 11/05-05 59 7 1 27 77 W 8 13 2 1 SW82 553 SW20 9220 P 11/05-06 63 30 9 27 82 W 8 13 2 1 SW78 635 SW20 10589 P 11/05-07 63 30 9 27 86 W10 16 2 1 SW67 2091 SW23 50375 F 11/05-08 63 30 9 27 91 W13 21 2 1 S49 3547 W26 90160 G 11/05-09 63 30 9 29 89 W16 25 2 1 S30 5002 W30 129946 V 11/05-10 63 30 9 31 83 W21 32 2 1 S26 5171 W35 156940 E 11/05-11 63 30 9 33 76 W25 40 2 1 S28 5339 W39 183934 E 11/05-12 63 30 9 34 71 W29 46 2 1 S30 5508 W44 210929 E 11/05-13 63 30 9 34 66 W31 49 2 1 S28 7105 W44 265046 E 11/05-14 63 30 9 35 61 W32 53 2 1 SW25 8702 W43 319163 E 11/05-15 63 30 9 35 57 W33 53 2 1 SW24 10298 W41 373280 E 11/05-16 63 30 9 34 55 W33 54 2 1 W24 9581 W46 379020 E 11/05-17 63 30 9 33 55 W33 53 2 1 W26 8864 W51 384760 E 11/05-18 21 0 0 30 59 W32 52 2 1 W33 8147 W55 390500 E 11/05-19 21 0 0 27 64 W31 51 2 1 W46 7205 W59 360047 E 11/05-20 21 0 0 25 68 W31 49 2 1 W60 6263 W61 329594 E 11/05-21 21 0 0 24 68 W30 48 2 1 W70 5321 W64 299140 E 11/05-22 21 0 0 22 70 W30 47 2 1 W69 5005 W62 272963 E 11/05-23 21 0 0 22 70 W30 47 2 1 W63 4689 W60 246785 E 11/06-00 21 0 0 21 70 W30 48 2 1 W56 4372 W58 220607 E 11/06-01 21 0 0 20 70 W31 49 2 1 W54 3931 W59 199453 E 11/06-02 21 0 0 20 70 W31 49 2 1 W53 3490 W59 178299 E 11/06-03 21 0 0 19 70 W31 49 2 1 W54 3049 W60 157145 E 11/06-04 21 0 0 19 69 W30 47 2 1 W56 3070 W59 156260 E 11/06-05 21 0 0 18 68 W28 45 2 1 W60 3091 W58 155375 E 11/06-06 36 0 0 18 68 W25 40 2 1 W62 3112 W58 154489 E 11/06-07 36 0 0 18 68 W23 36 2 1 W64 3660 W55 173151 E 11/06-08 36 0 0 19 67 W20 32 2 1 W64 4208 W53 191814 E 11/06-09 36 0 0 21 62 W18 30 2 1 W63 4756 W51 210476 E 11/06-10 36 0 0 24 56 W18 30 2 1 W61 4969 W48 207009 E 11/06-11 36 0 0 26 51 W20 32 2 1 W56 5181 W45 203543 E 11/06-12 36 0 0 27 48 W21 33 2 1 W51 5393 W43 200076 E 11/06-13 36 0 0 28 47 W21 32 2 1 W46 5422 W38 180847 E 11/06-14 36 0 0 28 48 W20 31 2 1 W40 5451 W35 161619 E 11/06-15 36 0 0 29 47 W17 28 2 1 W36 5479 W30 142390 V 11/06-16 36 0 0 28 48 W14 23 2 1 W32 5393 W26 123495 V 11/06-17 36 0 0 27 50 W10 10 2 1 W29 5307 W23 104601 V 11/06-18 38 0 0 26 53 W 8 8 2 1 SW28 5220 W18 85706 G 11/06-19 38 0 0 24 57 W 8 8 2 1 SW28 5080 W18 82888 G 11/06-20 38 0 0 22 58 W 8 8 2 1 SW28 4940 W18 80069 G 11/06-21 38 0 0 21 58 W 9 9 2 1 SW29 4799 SW18 77250 G 11/06-22 38 0 0 21 58 W 9 9 2 1 SW29 4656 SW18 74229 G 11/06-23 38 0 0 20 57 W 9 9 2 1 SW30 4513 SW18 71208 G 11/07-00 38 0 0 20 56 W 9 9 2 1 SW29 4370 SW18 68187 G 11/07-01 38 0 0 19 56 W 9 9 2 1 SW28 4305 SW16 61210 G 11/07-02 38 0 0 19 57 W 8 8 2 1 SW26 4240 SW15 54233 F 11/07-03 38 0 0 19 58 W 7 7 2 1 SW25 4175 SW13 47255 F 11/07-04 38 0 0 18 59 W 6 6 2 1 SW24 4122 SW10 39273 P 11/07-05 38 0 0 18 61 W 5 5 2 1 SW24 4069 SW 9 31291 P 11/07-06 51 12 2 18 64 W 3 3 2 1 SW24 4017 SW 7 23309 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111104.WESTD.01/BOU