FNUS73 KLSX 041250
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MINNINGHAW...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
750 AM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0733 CDT ON NOVEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...CAUSING THE
NORTH WINDS THAT ARE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING TO GRADUALLY
SHIFT TO THE EAST BY THIS EVENING.   WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
OVERNIGHT AND BECOME SOUTHERLY ON SATURDAY...AND INCREASE INTO THE
10-20 MPH RANGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  HEADING INTO THE START OF THE
NEW WEEK RAIN CHANCES WILL BE INCREASING...WITH SEVERAL PERIODS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT
TIME FRAME.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH 6 MPH. PARTIALLY SHIELDED ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 0.3
WIND...20 FT........NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 6 MPH DURING MID AND LATE
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2152 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST 4 MPH. PARTIALLY SHIELDED ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST 8 MPH. PARTIALLY SHIELDED ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 0.3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10840 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...JPK
REQUESTED BY...SANDY MENDENHALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111104.MINNI.01/LSX