FNUS76 KMFR 040136
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH RESERVOIR...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
636 PM PDT THU NOV 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON NOVEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING
FRIDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE BURN AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST OF THE BURN AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH
INCREASING NORTH WINDS NEAR THE RIDGELINE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING WINDS LATE IN THE MORNING
FOLLOWED BY SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY AND DRY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTH TO NORTHWEST
                    5-9 WITH A FEW GUST TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-21.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING CALM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH IN THE EVENING. WEST
                    2-5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW MID TO
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM IN THE MORNING. BECOMING SOUTH 6-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 2500-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MCGIRR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111104.SMITH.01/MFR