FNUS73 KMPX 041138
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRAIRIE FLATS SOUTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
638 AM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON NOVEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. MEANWHILE...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WAS
ORGANIZING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS
TIGHTENING ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA AND THE DAKOTAS AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM. THIS WILL GENERATE INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS
WESTERN WISCONSIN TODAY. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. THIS
WILL SPREAD A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THEN RAIN AND
MAYBE EVEN SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TOWARDS THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2100-39300) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    EXCELLENT (27300-75300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     45     52     54     50     45
RH..............61     36     26     24     30     41
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 9    S 11   S 12   SE 10  SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900-6700).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4100-48200) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58700-84700) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (32200) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 41 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KRAUSE
REQUESTED BY...RX FIRE SPLST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111104.PRAIR.01/MPX