FNUS75 KPUB 041336
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SULLIVAN...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
736 AM MDT FRI NOV 4 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STABLE AIR MASS ALONG WITH THE WEAK NOVEMBER SUN WILL LIMIT
MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY. THE LOW MIXING HEIGHT ALONG WITH WEAK LOWER
ATMOSPHERE WINDS WILL RESULT IN ONLY FAIR DISPERSION BY MID
AFTERNOON. A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT
AND MOVE OVER THE AREA ON SATURDAY. EXPECT A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE
IN WINDS BY MID MORNING WITH EXCELLENT DISPERSION FROM MID MORNING
SATURDAY UNTIL EARLY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(29 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32F.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(51 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    WEST 16-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 39 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111104.SULLI.01/PUB