FNUS74 KLCH 061327
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIME CHANGE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
727 AM CST SUN NOV 6 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFFSHORE NEW JERSEY RIDGES
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

PRESSURES WILL BEGIN FALLING ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE ON
MONDAY...WITH A CONSEQUENT LOW TRAVELING NORTHEAST INTO
MISSOURI ON TUESDAY.

ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL THROUGH THE FIRE
WEATHER AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY...
EXITING INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BY MIDMORNING WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 21 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........59  59  59  59  59  59  57  56  55  52  52  52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............70  72  74  75  76  77  77  77  76  74  71  70
RH..............68  64  62  59  59  58  57  57  60  64  73  76
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  12  12  12  10  9   9   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   7   8   9   9   9   8   7   6   6   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.7
MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
TRANS SPD (M/S).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
HAINES INDEX....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 23 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

THE FOG POTENTIAL FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IS LOW...DUE TO PERSISTENT
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WHICH WILL MIX THE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 21 TO 28 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (RAIN CHANCES 40 PERCENT)
BY TUESDAY EVENING...WILL INCREASE TO NUMEROUS (RAIN CHANCES
70 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL BE COMING TO
AN END BY MIDMORNING WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER...TRARES
REQUESTED BY...MATT JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111106.TIMEC.01/LCH