FNUS73 KAPX 071409 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR 489 BURN...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 909 AM EST MON NOV 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EST ON NOVEMBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH...WILL PRODUCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT THE MINIMUM RH TO FALL INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE TODAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE COULD CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 50S. WITH A FLAT ASPECT...EXPECT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LOCALIZED EFFECTS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........22 22 22 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 55 55 54 52 RH..............39 36 35 35 40 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 7 6 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......700 800 800 700 400 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........22 39 39 39 39 39 39 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............50 43 41 40 39 38 37 38 37 36 36 36 RH..............46 66 75 81 85 87 88 85 86 87 88 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111107.489BU.01/APX