FNUS75 KBOU 071631 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 AM MST MON NOV 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO DURING THE DAY...SPREADING MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO TUESDAY...WITH SNOW CHANCES DECREASING. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH VERY LIMITED SMOKE DISPERSION. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT TUESDAY...WITH SMOKE DISPERSION IMPROVING BY THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE HALF INCH. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-31. MIN HUMIDITY........56-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO EAST 3-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4400-5400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 2 INCHES. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19. MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-29. MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG CREEK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/07-09 79 17 3 19 75 SE 5 5 3 1 SW23 1720 SE 6 9920 P 11/07-10 79 17 3 25 61 SE 5 5 3 1 SW20 3194 SE 7 18672 P 11/07-11 80 68 50 27 59 SE 5 5 3 1 SW17 4669 S 7 27424 P 11/07-12 80 68 50 28 58 E 5 5 3 1 SW16 5019 SE 5 20674 P 11/07-13 80 68 50 29 57 E 6 6 3 1 SW15 5368 SE 3 13923 P 11/07-14 89 68 50 31 56 NE 6 6 3 1 SW15 5718 CALM 7173 P 11/07-15 89 68 50 31 58 NE 7 7 3 1 SW13 5156 E 3 15049 P 11/07-16 89 68 50 29 64 N 8 8 3 1 SW12 4595 NE 7 22924 P 11/07-17 89 65 45 26 71 N 8 13 3 1 SW 9 4034 N 9 30799 P 11/07-18 89 65 45 23 79 N 8 8 3 1 SW 8 3275 NE 9 25098 P 11/07-19 89 65 45 21 85 N 7 7 3 1 W 7 2516 NE 9 19396 P 11/07-20 89 65 45 21 85 N 6 6 3 1 W 7 1756 NE 9 13694 P 11/07-21 89 65 45 19 84 N 6 6 3 1 W 6 1576 NE 9 12045 P 11/07-22 89 65 45 19 80 N 5 5 3 1 W 6 1396 NE 8 10395 P 11/07-23 69 45 22 18 78 N 5 5 3 1 W 6 1216 N 8 8745 P 11/08-00 69 45 22 18 78 N 5 5 3 1 W 8 1137 N 8 7592 P 11/08-01 69 45 22 17 79 N 3 3 3 1 NW10 1058 N 7 6440 P 11/08-02 69 45 22 17 81 N 3 3 3 1 NW13 979 N 6 5287 P 11/08-03 69 45 22 16 82 NW 3 3 3 1 NW13 916 N 6 4376 P 11/08-04 69 45 22 16 83 W 5 5 3 1 NW14 853 N 5 3465 P 11/08-05 69 20 4 16 85 W 5 5 3 1 NW14 790 NW 3 2555 P 11/08-06 69 20 4 15 85 W 5 5 3 1 NW14 1348 NW 5 5694 P 11/08-07 69 20 4 16 81 W 6 6 3 1 NW15 1906 NW 5 8833 P 11/08-08 67 20 4 19 71 W 6 6 3 1 NW15 2464 NW 6 11973 P 11/08-09 67 20 4 22 62 W 6 6 3 1 NW17 3536 W 8 29068 P 11/08-10 67 20 4 25 55 W 7 7 2 1 NW20 4625 W10 43481 F 11/08-11 63 20 4 27 52 W 7 7 2 1 NW21 5713 W12 57895 F 11/08-12 63 20 4 28 52 W 7 7 2 1 NW22 5694 W13 65225 G 11/08-13 63 20 4 28 54 W 7 7 2 1 NW23 5676 W15 72555 G 11/08-14 63 20 4 28 56 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 5657 W16 79885 G 11/08-15 63 20 4 28 59 W 7 7 2 1 NW26 5257 W17 78361 G 11/08-16 63 20 4 26 64 W 7 7 3 1 NW29 4857 W18 76837 G 11/08-17 55 0 0 23 72 W 7 7 3 1 NW30 4457 W20 75313 G 11/08-18 55 0 0 19 82 W 7 7 3 1 NW31 3322 W17 54569 F 11/08-19 55 0 0 17 88 W 6 6 3 1 NW31 2187 W16 33825 P 11/08-20 55 0 0 16 88 W 6 6 3 1 W30 1052 W14 13081 P 11/08-21 55 0 0 14 88 W 6 6 3 1 W29 849 W13 9982 P 11/08-22 55 0 0 13 86 W 6 6 3 1 W28 645 W12 6883 P 11/08-23 28 0 0 13 84 W 6 6 3 1 W26 441 W10 3784 P 11/09-00 28 0 0 12 84 W 6 6 3 1 W26 395 W 9 3070 P 11/09-01 28 0 0 11 84 SW 5 5 3 1 NW26 348 W 7 2356 P 11/09-02 28 0 0 11 85 SW 5 5 3 1 NW26 301 W 6 1642 P 11/09-03 28 0 0 10 85 SW 5 5 3 1 NW26 286 W 6 1510 P 11/09-04 28 0 0 10 86 SW 5 5 2 1 NW25 270 W 6 1378 P 11/09-05 7 0 0 9 89 SW 5 5 2 1 NW25 254 W 6 1246 P 11/09-06 7 0 0 9 91 SW 3 3 2 1 NW24 494 W 7 3038 P 11/09-07 7 0 0 11 87 SW 2 2 2 1 NW24 734 W 7 4829 P 11/09-08 7 0 0 15 75 SW 2 2 2 1 NW25 974 W 8 6621 P 11/09-09 7 0 0 20 62 SW 3 3 2 1 NW25 2301 W 9 20809 P 11/09-10 7 0 0 24 53 W 6 6 2 1 N26 3628 NW10 34997 P 11/09-11 7 0 0 26 50 W 7 7 2 1 N28 4955 NW12 49184 F 11/09-12 7 0 0 28 49 W 8 8 2 1 N31 4944 NW12 47490 F 11/09-13 7 0 0 28 50 W 8 8 2 1 N35 4933 NW10 45797 F 11/09-14 7 0 0 29 50 W 8 8 2 1 N37 4921 NW10 44103 F 11/09-15 7 0 0 28 52 W 7 7 3 1 N36 4234 W10 37883 P 11/09-16 7 0 0 27 55 W 6 6 3 1 N35 3546 W10 31663 P 11/09-17 7 0 0 25 59 W 5 5 4 1 N32 2858 W10 25443 P 11/09-18 7 0 0 23 64 W 5 5 4 1 N31 2239 W10 20239 P 11/09-19 7 0 0 21 66 SW 5 5 4 1 N29 1620 W12 15034 P 11/09-20 7 0 0 20 64 SW 6 6 4 1 N28 1001 W12 9830 P 11/09-21 7 0 0 19 63 SW 6 6 4 1 NW26 782 SW10 7564 P 11/09-22 7 0 0 18 61 SW 7 7 3 1 NW25 563 SW10 5299 P 11/09-23 7 0 0 18 59 SW 7 7 3 1 NW25 344 SW10 3034 P 11/10-00 7 0 0 17 59 SW 7 7 4 1 NW29 318 SW10 2930 P 11/10-01 7 0 0 17 60 SW 8 8 4 1 NW32 293 SW12 2826 P 11/10-02 7 0 0 16 61 SW 8 8 5 1 NW36 267 SW12 2722 P 11/10-03 7 0 0 16 62 SW 8 8 5 1 NW35 248 SW12 2527 P 11/10-04 7 0 0 16 63 SW 8 8 4 1 NW32 228 SW12 2332 P 11/10-05 13 2 0 15 66 SW 8 8 3 1 NW28 208 SW12 2136 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111107.BIGCR.01/BOU