FNUS75 KBOU 071548 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH DEER MOUNTAIN RX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 845 AM MST MON NOV 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO DURING THE DAY...SPREADING MOISTURE ACROSS THE PARK. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN BY NOON...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TUESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH LIMITED SMOKE DISPERSION. THE DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE A BIT TUESDAY AS TRANSPORT WINDS INCREASE SLIGHTLY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF SNOW DEVELOPING BY 1100... THEN OCCASIONAL SNOW AFTER 1700. ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-29. MIN HUMIDITY........60-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 5000-5200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW...DECREASING AFTER 0100. ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 2 INCHES. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22. MAX HUMIDITY........83-87%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100. ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-28. MIN HUMIDITY........54-59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NORTH DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/07-08 84 7 1 16 82 E 3 3 2 1 SW37 698 SE 3 2044 P 11/07-09 84 7 1 18 78 E 3 3 2 1 SW36 2130 SE 6 16140 P 11/07-10 84 7 1 22 69 E 5 5 2 1 SW32 3562 S 8 30237 P 11/07-11 87 59 36 24 66 E 6 6 2 1 S28 4995 S10 44334 F 11/07-12 87 59 36 28 61 E 6 6 2 1 S24 5091 S10 43816 F 11/07-13 87 59 36 29 60 E 5 5 2 1 S20 5187 S 9 43299 F 11/07-14 98 59 36 29 62 E 5 5 2 1 S16 5283 S 9 42781 F 11/07-15 98 59 36 28 61 E 6 6 2 1 S14 5157 S 8 35789 P 11/07-16 98 59 36 27 61 E 6 6 2 1 S12 5032 SE 7 28796 P 11/07-17 97 85 76 26 64 E 6 6 2 1 S10 4906 SE 5 21804 P 11/07-18 97 85 76 24 72 NE 6 6 2 1 S 9 4482 SE 6 20569 P 11/07-19 97 85 76 22 80 NE 6 6 2 1 S 8 4058 NE 6 19334 P 11/07-20 97 85 76 22 85 NE 6 6 2 1 SW 7 3635 NE 6 18099 P 11/07-21 97 85 76 21 87 NE 6 6 2 1 SW 6 3610 NE 8 23704 P 11/07-22 97 85 76 20 87 NE 5 5 2 1 NW 6 3585 NE 9 29308 P 11/07-23 91 85 76 20 85 NE 5 5 2 1 N 7 3560 NE12 34912 P 11/08-00 91 85 76 20 85 NE 5 5 2 1 N 9 3623 NE12 37896 P 11/08-01 91 85 76 19 84 NE 5 5 2 1 N13 3685 NE13 40879 F 11/08-02 91 85 76 19 83 NE 5 5 2 1 N15 3747 NE14 43863 F 11/08-03 91 85 76 19 81 N 5 5 2 1 N16 3674 N14 42509 F 11/08-04 91 85 76 18 80 NW 6 6 2 1 N16 3600 N13 41154 F 11/08-05 91 50 26 18 79 W 7 7 2 1 N15 3526 N13 39800 P 11/08-06 91 50 26 18 79 W 7 7 2 1 N15 3998 N12 41154 F 11/08-07 91 50 26 19 76 W 7 7 2 1 N15 4470 N12 42509 F 11/08-08 68 50 26 21 70 W 6 6 2 1 N15 4942 N10 43863 F 11/08-09 68 50 26 23 63 W 6 6 2 1 NW13 5014 NW12 49518 F 11/08-10 68 50 26 25 58 W 6 6 2 1 W16 5214 NW13 55180 F 11/08-11 49 0 0 26 55 W 6 6 2 1 W20 5414 NW13 60843 G 11/08-12 49 0 0 27 55 W 6 6 2 1 W22 5631 NW14 69559 G 11/08-13 49 0 0 27 54 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 5848 W15 78276 G 11/08-14 49 0 0 27 54 W 7 7 2 1 NW26 6064 W16 86993 G 11/08-15 49 0 0 27 55 W 7 7 2 1 NW28 5702 W17 85610 G 11/08-16 49 0 0 25 58 W 8 8 2 1 NW29 5339 W18 84228 G 11/08-17 52 0 0 23 64 W 8 8 2 1 NW29 4976 W20 82846 G 11/08-18 52 0 0 20 70 W 8 8 2 1 NW29 4188 W20 70120 G 11/08-19 52 0 0 18 73 W 8 8 3 1 NW29 3401 W20 57394 F 11/08-20 52 0 0 17 73 W 8 8 3 1 NW29 2613 W20 44668 F 11/08-21 52 0 0 15 73 W 9 9 3 1 NW28 2311 W21 40218 F 11/08-22 52 0 0 15 72 W10 10 3 1 W28 2009 W21 35768 P 11/08-23 16 0 0 14 70 W12 18 3 1 W26 1707 W21 31318 P 11/09-00 16 0 0 14 69 W12 12 3 1 W26 1509 W20 26158 P 11/09-01 16 0 0 13 67 W12 12 2 1 W26 1311 W18 20999 P 11/09-02 16 0 0 13 67 W10 10 2 1 W28 1113 W16 15839 P 11/09-03 16 0 0 12 66 W10 10 2 1 W28 996 W16 13764 P 11/09-04 16 0 0 12 65 W 9 9 2 1 NW29 878 W15 11690 P 11/09-05 7 0 0 11 67 W 9 9 2 1 NW29 761 W15 9615 P 11/09-06 7 0 0 11 71 W 8 8 2 1 NW28 1325 W14 15219 P 11/09-07 7 0 0 13 71 W 8 8 2 1 NW25 1889 NW13 20823 P 11/09-08 7 0 0 17 64 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 2452 NW13 26427 P 11/09-09 7 0 0 21 56 W 6 6 2 1 NW23 3642 NW13 38921 P 11/09-10 7 0 0 25 49 W 5 5 2 1 NW23 4831 NW13 51416 F 11/09-11 7 0 0 28 46 W 3 3 2 1 NW24 6020 NW13 63910 G 11/09-12 7 0 0 29 44 W 2 2 2 1 NW26 6141 NW13 69648 G 11/09-13 7 0 0 29 43 W 2 2 2 1 N30 6262 NW14 75387 G 11/09-14 7 0 0 30 42 W 2 2 2 1 N33 6384 NW15 81125 G 11/09-15 7 0 0 30 43 W 2 2 3 1 N35 5757 NW14 70098 G 11/09-16 7 0 0 29 44 W 3 3 3 1 N36 5131 NW13 59072 F 11/09-17 7 0 0 27 46 W 5 5 4 1 N35 4505 NW13 48045 F 11/09-18 7 0 0 25 48 W 7 7 4 1 N35 3638 NW12 38280 P 11/09-19 7 0 0 23 48 W 8 8 4 1 N33 2771 NW12 28515 P 11/09-20 7 0 0 23 47 W10 10 4 1 N31 1905 W12 18750 P 11/09-21 7 0 0 22 46 W12 12 4 1 N29 1613 W12 15838 P 11/09-22 7 0 0 21 44 W13 20 4 1 NW25 1322 W12 12926 P 11/09-23 7 0 0 21 44 W13 21 4 1 NW24 1031 W12 10014 P 11/10-00 7 0 0 20 44 W13 21 4 1 NW25 837 W13 8528 P 11/10-01 7 0 0 20 45 W14 22 4 1 NW28 644 W13 7043 P 11/10-02 7 0 0 19 46 W14 22 4 1 NW30 451 W14 5557 P 11/10-03 7 0 0 19 47 W14 23 4 1 NW32 390 W15 4968 P 11/10-04 7 0 0 19 49 W15 24 3 1 NW33 329 W16 4378 P 11/10-05 13 2 0 19 52 W15 24 3 1 NW35 268 W16 3789 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111107.NORTH.01/BOU