FNUS73 KDDC 071538 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR MECH PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 938 AM CST MON NOV 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS MORNING AND ACROSS THE BURN SITE BY IGNITION TIME. THE BURN SITE WILL BE NORTH OF A WARM FRONT TODAY SO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 12 TO 18 MPH IS EXPECTED AT EYE LEVEL. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY SUNSET THIS EVENING. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL START MODERATE (60 TO 70 PERCENT) THROUGH TODAY AND THEN RECOVER TO EXCELLENT LEVELS (100 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW NEAR THE SURFACE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 47 49 52 RH..............70 93 93 83 20 FT WIND......NE 10 NE 12 NE 15 NE 18 20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 20 21 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 10 NE 12 NE 15 NE 17 WIND GUST..15 15 18 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 29 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............49 46 43 41 42 41 RH..............83 89 96 100 93 92 20 FT WIND......NE 18 NE 13 NE 14 N 15 N 15 N 15 20 FT WIND GUST.21 15 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 15 NE 10 NE 11 N 12 N 12 N 12 WIND GUST..18 15 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 98 96 96 97 98 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN SNOW SNOW SNOW TEMP............39 39 40 41 42 42 RH..............100 96 92 89 86 86 20 FT WIND......N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 12 N 12 N 12 N 12 N 12 N 12 WIND GUST..20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SUGDEN REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111107.MECHP.01/DDC