FNUS72 KJAX 082200
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
500 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1647 EST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN PASS
EAST AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS SOUTHEAST BEHIND IT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE HONEY PRAIRIE COMPLEX BETWEEN ABOUT 6 AM AND 11 AM THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH A COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIRMASS BEHIND IT FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
VALUES BELOW ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......5 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........45     35     32     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     61     58     56     55     53
RH..............77     84     81     87     92     96
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 5   NE 3   NE 2   NE 2   N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.              5
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1000   700    400    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   E 10   E 7    NE 5   NE 5   NE 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.26     5      4      3      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........26     26     28     28     35     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     55     70     78     80     78
RH..............98     90     61     46     41     43
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 5    NE 7   NE 7   NE 6   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1400   2400   3300   3400   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9    N 9    NE 9   NE 8   NE 7   NE 7
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M      M
DISPERSION INDX.4      20     29     40     35     22
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...USFWS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111108.HONEY.01/JAX